Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/17 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +54.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +4.5 | -0.1 | -5.5 | +1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 23% | 22% | 25% | -12.7 | -4.7 | -3.8 | +21.2 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 21% | 19% | 41% | -4.4 | -12.9 | +20.4 | -3.2 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 13% | 32% | 39% | +39.2 | -7.9 | -19.6 | -11.8 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 4,000 | 47% | 10% | 17% | 27% | +15.4 | -3.6 | -5.3 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 4,000 | 65% | 6% | 11% | 19% | -5.9 | -2.5 | -3.9 | +12.4 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 18,000 | 59% | 6% | 9% | 26% | -18.3 | +54.2 | -17.4 | -18.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,800 from Namba Shibukawa | 37% | 40% | 7% | 17% | -3.6 | +16.2 | -11.1 | -1.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Kazuma Ishii | 27% | 57% | 3% | 13% | +13.5 | -1.0 | -2.0 | -10.5 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 39% | 53% | 2% | 6% | -39.6 | +10.7 | +31.4 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 1,100 | 7% | 77% | 9% | 8% | +4.1 | +9.4 | -6.3 | -7.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 93% | 0% | 5% | -3.7 | -2.5 | -6.6 | +12.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,200 | 2% | 89% | 1% | 8% | +16.2 | +4.1 | -13.5 | -6.8 |