Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/17 Game 1
Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 18,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +55.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | +5.2 | -0.6 | -5.8 | +1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 24% | 21% | 26% | -14.3 | -5.3 | -2.6 | +22.2 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 21% | 18% | 43% | -2.4 | -14.3 | +22.6 | -6.0 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 12% | 34% | 38% | +35.7 | -4.5 | -21.0 | -10.2 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 4,000 | 45% | 10% | 17% | 28% | +16.6 | -4.5 | -6.3 | -5.8 |
| South 1 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 4,000 | 64% | 7% | 11% | 19% | -4.9 | -4.0 | -3.1 | +12.0 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 18,000 | 59% | 4% | 10% | 27% | -20.1 | +55.5 | -16.8 | -18.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 5,800 from Shibukawa Namba | 34% | 40% | 7% | 19% | -3.3 | +16.9 | -12.3 | -1.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 3,900 from Ishii Kazuma | 26% | 59% | 3% | 13% | +14.5 | -2.6 | -0.4 | -11.5 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 39% | 52% | 2% | 7% | -37.0 | +9.9 | +30.3 | -3.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 1,100 | 8% | 76% | 9% | 8% | +2.0 | +10.1 | -6.5 | -5.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 2% | 92% | 1% | 6% | -3.0 | -1.4 | -6.5 | +10.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,200 | 2% | 90% | 1% | 7% | +15.3 | +3.6 | -13.6 | -5.3 |