Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/17 Game 2
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+117.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 6 honba: Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,500 from Daigo Hiroshi | 26% | 23% | 24% | 26% | +3.4 | -0.2 | +0.6 | -3.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 23% | 26% | 23% | +4.0 | -2.4 | -1.9 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 30% | 22% | 25% | 23% | +14.0 | -0.1 | -13.8 | -0.1 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 2,600 from Daigo Hiroshi | 40% | 22% | 16% | 22% | -2.7 | +9.1 | +0.7 | -7.0 |
| East 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 38% | 27% | 16% | 19% | +10.6 | -8.7 | -0.2 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,500 from Okada Sayaka | 49% | 19% | 14% | 18% | -3.0 | +3.2 | +2.0 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 22% | 17% | 15% | -6.8 | -9.0 | -13.6 | +29.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 39% | 16% | 9% | 36% | +8.4 | -3.2 | -0.6 | -4.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 48% | 13% | 9% | 31% | +13.1 | -0.4 | -11.1 | -1.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 61% | 11% | 4% | 24% | +3.7 | +2.8 | -2.9 | -3.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 66% | 11% | 3% | 20% | +5.2 | +0.6 | -1.6 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 5,800 from Daigo Hiroshi | 71% | 11% | 3% | 15% | +15.8 | +1.2 | +0.5 | -17.4 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Draw | 88% | 6% | 1% | 4% | +2.2 | -2.5 | +0.3 | -0.1 |
| South 1, 6 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 18,000 | 90% | 5% | 2% | 4% | +25.0 | -9.8 | -6.6 | -8.6 |
| South 1, 7 honba | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +14.4 | +4.3 | -22.2 | +3.5 |
| South 1, 8 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 7,800 | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +10.3 | -3.5 | -2.6 | -4.2 |
| South 1, 9 honba | Draw | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +1.3 | +2.2 | -1.7 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 10 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -7.7 | -5.2 | -0.9 | +13.8 |
| South 2 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +0.1 | -3.6 | +1.6 | +1.9 |
| South 3 | Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -7.5 | +18.0 | -2.5 | -8.0 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 12,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +13.0 | -26.1 | -0.6 | +13.6 |