Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/19 Game 1
Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+63.8pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Geki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Hiroshi Daigo, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +44.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | +5.6 | -0.4 | -1.8 | -3.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 2,400 from Hiroshi Daigo | 29% | 23% | 24% | 24% | +7.5 | -2.2 | -0.4 | -4.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 35% | 22% | 22% | 21% | -6.4 | +1.0 | +7.4 | -2.0 |
| East 2 | Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 30% | 22% | 28% | 20% | -3.9 | -21.2 | +24.9 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 10% | 48% | 19% | -3.5 | +19.3 | -11.6 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 20% | 39% | 18% | -20.8 | -15.4 | -16.9 | +53.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 10% | 20% | 60% | +11.6 | -5.4 | -5.6 | -0.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 14% | 7% | 16% | 63% | -6.1 | +9.2 | +1.9 | -5.0 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 10% | 13% | 18% | 59% | +1.2 | -18.1 | +0.4 | +16.5 |
| South 3 | Geki Shimoishi ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 5% | 2% | 12% | 81% | -10.7 | +1.7 | +10.1 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 2% | 1% | 17% | 80% | +0.4 | -1.3 | +44.7 | -43.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 2% | 1% | 82% | 15% | -10.1 | +1.8 | +0.7 | +7.5 |
| South 4 | Geki Shimoishi ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 0% | 85% | 14% | -9.7 | +8.5 | +10.7 | -9.4 |