Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/19 Game 2
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+73.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Takaki Asai ron 24,000 from Kosuke Nagai, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +56.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -1.7 | -1.5 | -1.0 | +4.1 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Geki Shimoishi | 23% | 24% | 24% | 29% | +1.3 | -2.3 | +15.9 | -14.9 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 18,000 | 24% | 22% | 34% | 20% | -16.5 | -14.9 | +44.4 | -13.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 24,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 7% | 8% | 78% | 7% | -44.6 | +56.3 | -10.2 | -1.4 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 0% | 40% | 55% | 5% | -10.0 | -5.8 | +17.5 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 24% | 74% | 2% | -1.6 | +9.6 | -8.9 | +0.9 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 37% | 62% | 1% | -3.1 | -13.8 | +0.8 | +16.1 |
| South 3 | Takaki Asai tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 23% | 72% | 5% | -1.3 | +23.8 | -18.2 | -4.3 |
| South 4 | Geki Shimoishi ron 18,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 0% | 62% | 35% | 3% | -18.0 | -4.5 | -5.4 | +27.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaki Asai ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 54% | 29% | 17% | 0.0 | +26.2 | -32.9 | +6.6 |