Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/19 Game 2
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+73.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Asai Takaki ron 24,000 from Nagai Kosuke, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +56.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -1.6 | -1.4 | -1.4 | +4.4 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Shimoishi Geki | 24% | 23% | 24% | 29% | -0.3 | -0.9 | +15.2 | -14.0 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 18,000 | 23% | 22% | 37% | 19% | -13.4 | -15.3 | +42.5 | -13.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Asai Takaki ron 24,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 9% | 7% | 76% | 8% | -45.8 | +56.8 | -9.5 | -1.5 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 1% | 40% | 55% | 5% | -10.8 | -6.2 | +18.7 | -1.7 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 23% | 76% | 2% | -2.5 | +11.9 | -11.1 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 39% | 59% | 2% | -2.9 | -16.2 | +2.7 | +16.5 |
| South 3 | Asai Takaki tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 22% | 72% | 5% | -0.9 | +25.1 | -19.8 | -4.5 |
| South 4 | Shimoishi Geki ron 18,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 0% | 64% | 33% | 3% | -18.2 | -5.5 | -3.2 | +26.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Asai Takaki ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 54% | 30% | 16% | +0.1 | +26.7 | -33.9 | +7.1 |