Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/20 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+69.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -13.6 | +16.8 | -1.8 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 16% | 38% | 23% | 23% | +1.8 | +1.4 | +9.2 | -12.4 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 17% | 40% | 27% | 16% | -1.7 | +34.3 | -33.2 | +0.5 |
| East 4 | Draw | 9% | 75% | 5% | 11% | -3.9 | +3.2 | +4.9 | -4.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 80% | 6% | 7% | -19.1 | -7.9 | +38.4 | -11.4 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 2% | 71% | 23% | 4% | +2.4 | +8.3 | -2.4 | -8.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 1% | 80% | 16% | 2% | +4.6 | +0.4 | -1.3 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,600 from Setokuma Naoki | 1% | 84% | 14% | 2% | +1.7 | +9.8 | -5.6 | -5.9 |
| South 4 | Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 0% | 98% | 2% | 1% | +30.0 | +1.4 | -25.8 | -5.6 |