Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/20 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+69.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +34.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 27% | 25% | 22% | 26% | -15.7 | +20.5 | -1.5 | -3.3 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 16% | 41% | 21% | 23% | +2.0 | -0.1 | +9.3 | -11.3 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 16% | 41% | 26% | 17% | -1.8 | +34.2 | -34.0 | +1.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 76% | 5% | 11% | -1.4 | +0.2 | +7.4 | -6.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 78% | 6% | 7% | -21.3 | -5.2 | +37.7 | -11.2 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 1% | 71% | 23% | 4% | +2.8 | +8.0 | -2.9 | -7.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 80% | 16% | 3% | +5.1 | -0.5 | -1.2 | -3.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,600 from Naoki Setokuma | 1% | 83% | 14% | 2% | +0.4 | +10.8 | -5.8 | -5.4 |
| South 4 | Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | +30.6 | +1.1 | -25.1 | -6.6 |