Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/23 Game 1
Nagai Kosuke finished 1st (+74.0pt). The game was decided in East 4, 3 honba: Nagai Kosuke ron 12,000 from Takeuchi Genta, which moved Nagai Kosuke's expected points by +36.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -5.2 | -0.5 | +5.5 | +0.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 23% | 22% | 30% | 25% | +2.0 | +4.3 | -10.2 | +3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 22% | 27% | 23% | 28% | +0.8 | +10.0 | -8.4 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 23% | 34% | 18% | 25% | -1.8 | +29.8 | -27.8 | -0.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Okada Sayaka | 16% | 58% | 6% | 20% | +11.2 | 0.0 | -9.7 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 22% | 57% | 4% | 17% | -0.6 | -2.1 | +5.0 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 6,000 | 22% | 57% | 4% | 17% | -5.1 | -4.4 | +13.0 | -3.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 22% | 53% | 7% | 18% | -3.0 | +0.9 | -4.6 | +6.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 12,000 from Takeuchi Genta | 19% | 55% | 5% | 21% | -31.9 | -4.6 | +0.5 | +36.1 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 12,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 5% | 44% | 4% | 48% | +1.2 | -34.1 | +1.9 | +31.0 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Nagai Kosuke ron 5,800 from Takeuchi Genta | 3% | 8% | 3% | 86% | -11.2 | +0.3 | +1.5 | +9.4 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 5% | 2% | 92% | -7.5 | -2.5 | +12.3 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 4% | 3% | 93% | -8.3 | -4.6 | +14.3 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 2% | 4% | 94% | -0.7 | -3.4 | +3.1 | +1.0 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 2,900 from Nagai Kosuke | 0% | 0% | 3% | 96% | +0.2 | -2.3 | +6.1 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Okada Sayaka | 0% | 1% | 6% | 94% | +16.3 | +5.6 | -24.9 | +3.0 |
| South 4 | Nagai Kosuke ron 2,000 from Okada Sayaka | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +0.7 | +2.2 | -4.7 | +1.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +41.5 | -41.1 | +0.8 | -1.1 |