Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/23 Game 2
Akutsu Shota finished 1st (+77.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Akutsu Shota tsumo 18,000, which moved Akutsu Shota's expected points by +38.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akutsu Shota ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -21.7 | -1.5 | -0.2 | +23.4 |
| East 2 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 23% | 23% | 43% | -2.7 | -5.8 | -2.9 | +11.5 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 17% | 20% | 54% | -1.4 | +11.0 | -7.7 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 18,000 | 10% | 23% | 13% | 53% | -10.8 | -15.4 | -12.0 | +38.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 6,400 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 2% | 5% | 3% | 90% | -13.6 | +13.8 | +0.6 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Draw | 1% | 6% | 3% | 90% | +2.3 | +2.4 | -5.5 | +0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 7% | 2% | 90% | -7.5 | +12.2 | -2.2 | -2.5 |
| South 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 18,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 11% | 2% | 87% | +10.0 | +34.6 | -31.7 | -12.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 1,300 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 46% | 0% | 54% | +0.6 | -3.7 | +1.3 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 0% | 43% | 0% | 57% | +4.1 | +0.1 | -4.5 | +0.2 |
| South 4 | Akutsu Shota ron 7,700 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 42% | 0% | 58% | -0.1 | -23.5 | +0.1 | +23.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 2% | 0% | 98% | -1.3 | -1.5 | -0.2 | +3.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -20.7 | -4.3 | +32.2 | -7.2 |