Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/23 Game 2
Shota Akutsu finished 1st (+77.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shota Akutsu tsumo 18,000, which moved Shota Akutsu's expected points by +36.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shota Akutsu ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -23.2 | +0.1 | -0.2 | +23.3 |
| East 2 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 23% | 21% | 44% | -1.5 | -8.9 | -2.9 | +13.3 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 15% | 19% | 56% | -4.0 | +12.9 | -6.2 | -2.7 |
| East 4 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 22% | 16% | 54% | -9.8 | -13.5 | -12.8 | +36.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 6,400 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 2% | 5% | 4% | 90% | -13.6 | +13.4 | +1.1 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 7% | 3% | 89% | +3.6 | +2.0 | -6.3 | +0.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 9% | 2% | 88% | -7.8 | +11.3 | -2.4 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 18,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 11% | 1% | 88% | +8.9 | +35.5 | -30.1 | -14.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,300 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 47% | 0% | 53% | +1.6 | -3.9 | +0.7 | +1.6 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 43% | 0% | 56% | +4.1 | -1.2 | -4.9 | +1.9 |
| South 4 | Shota Akutsu ron 7,700 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 40% | 0% | 60% | +0.3 | -22.2 | -0.6 | +22.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 3% | 0% | 97% | -1.1 | -1.7 | -0.4 | +3.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -20.8 | -4.2 | +32.6 | -7.5 |