Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/24 Game 1
Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Geki Shimoishi ron 24,000 from Megumu Aikawa, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +55.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Geki Shimoishi ron 24,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +55.1 | -3.0 | -2.9 | -49.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 5,200 from Geki Shimoishi | 70% | 13% | 14% | 4% | -11.1 | -0.3 | +3.5 | +7.9 |
| East 2 | Yu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Futoshi Watanabe | 62% | 16% | 18% | 4% | +1.7 | +13.3 | -14.7 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 64% | 22% | 11% | 4% | +2.1 | -22.7 | +0.4 | +20.1 |
| East 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 12,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 69% | 11% | 11% | 10% | -5.0 | -0.5 | +30.1 | -24.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 60% | 10% | 27% | 4% | -6.0 | +0.8 | +4.5 | +0.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 5,800 from Megumu Aikawa | 53% | 11% | 32% | 4% | -3.4 | -1.2 | +16.0 | -11.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 45% | 8% | 45% | 2% | -6.3 | -10.6 | +15.1 | +1.8 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 16,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 33% | 4% | 61% | 1% | +42.2 | +2.2 | -44.5 | +0.1 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki | 87% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 0.0 | -6.6 | +8.9 | -2.3 |
| South 1 | Megumu Aikawa ron 1,600 from Geki Shimoishi | 87% | 1% | 12% | 1% | -1.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 2,700 | 89% | 1% | 10% | 0% | +5.0 | -4.1 | -0.8 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 94% | 0% | 6% | 0% | +1.1 | +12.8 | -8.2 | -5.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.1 | -1.0 | -1.0 | +3.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -1.2 | +1.5 | -3.1 | +2.7 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 6,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -3.0 | -6.2 | -2.6 | +11.8 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,600 from Megumu Aikawa | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | +0.3 | +7.0 | +4.7 | -12.0 |