Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/24 Game 1

Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shimoishi Geki ron 24,000 from Aikawa Megumu, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +56.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Shimoishi Geki● Suzuki Yu● Watanabe Futoshi● Aikawa Megumu0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Shimoishi● Suzuki● Watanabe● Aikawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Watanabe Futoshi
1st-place chance
Aikawa Megumu
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Watanabe Futoshi
Expected pt change
Aikawa Megumu
Expected pt change
East 1Shimoishi Geki ron 24,000 from Aikawa Megumu24%25%26%25%+56.4-3.8-3.8-48.8
East 1, 1 honbaAikawa Megumu ron 5,200 from Shimoishi Geki69%13%15%3%-10.2+1.2+1.2+7.8
East 2Suzuki Yu ron 5,800 from Watanabe Futoshi63%16%16%5%+0.1+10.3-11.2+0.8
East 2, 1 honbaAikawa Megumu ron 8,000 from Suzuki Yu62%21%12%5%+2.6-21.8-1.2+20.5
East 3Watanabe Futoshi ron 12,000 from Aikawa Megumu68%11%11%10%-3.2-0.9+28.8-24.7
East 3, 1 honbaDraw61%9%26%4%-6.9+0.8+4.3+1.7
East 3, 2 honbaWatanabe Futoshi ron 5,800 from Aikawa Megumu54%9%32%5%-3.6-1.9+17.2-11.8
East 3, 3 honbaWatanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu45%7%45%2%-6.2-8.0+13.7+0.4
East 3, 4 honbaShimoishi Geki ron 16,000 from Watanabe Futoshi34%4%61%2%+41.4+1.6-43.6+0.5
East 4Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Suzuki Yu86%3%10%1%-0.1-6.6+8.9-2.3
South 1Aikawa Megumu ron 1,600 from Shimoishi Geki86%1%12%0%-0.5-0.5+0.3+0.7
South 2Shimoishi Geki tsumo 2,70089%1%10%0%+4.9-2.8-0.9-1.2
South 3Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,00094%0%6%0%+0.6+11.7-8.5-3.7
South 4Draw100%0%0%0%-0.6-1.4-0.9+2.9
South 4, 1 honbaDraw100%0%0%0%-1.2+1.9-2.2+1.5
South 4, 2 honbaAikawa Megumu tsumo 6,00099%0%0%0%-3.4-5.6-3.4+12.5
South 4, 3 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 2,600 from Aikawa Megumu99%0%0%1%+0.5+6.8+4.7-12.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)