Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/24 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +25.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shimoishi Geki ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 23% | 25% | 25% | 27% | -3.7 | +13.4 | +0.9 | -10.6 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,700 | 21% | 34% | 26% | 20% | -1.4 | -4.2 | -0.5 | +6.1 |
| East 3 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,600 from Shimoishi Geki | 21% | 30% | 25% | 23% | +6.1 | -4.8 | -2.6 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,800 from Nakabayashi Kei | 25% | 27% | 24% | 25% | -16.0 | -2.1 | -1.6 | +19.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 24% | 20% | 39% | +4.6 | -0.7 | -1.4 | -2.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 24% | 20% | 38% | -13.0 | -7.4 | -4.5 | +25.0 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 6% | 15% | 13% | 66% | +0.1 | -12.1 | +0.3 | +11.7 |
| South 3 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 4% | 10% | 84% | +29.5 | -8.1 | -22.5 | +1.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 9% | 1% | 1% | 88% | +2.0 | +6.2 | -9.5 | +1.4 |