Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/24 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+55.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Geki Shimoishi ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -5.8 | +12.0 | +1.6 | -7.8 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,700 | 22% | 34% | 25% | 19% | -1.1 | -4.9 | -1.4 | +7.4 |
| East 3 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 1,600 from Geki Shimoishi | 22% | 31% | 24% | 24% | +5.6 | -3.1 | -3.8 | +1.3 |
| East 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,800 from Kei Nakabayashi | 27% | 28% | 20% | 25% | -16.6 | -3.9 | +1.4 | +19.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 24% | 21% | 40% | +5.3 | +0.3 | -2.8 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 25% | 19% | 37% | -13.9 | -6.6 | -4.1 | +24.6 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 6% | 15% | 13% | 66% | +0.5 | -11.8 | -1.3 | +12.6 |
| South 3 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 4% | 9% | 84% | +28.2 | -8.2 | -20.0 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 1% | 1% | 88% | +2.8 | +5.3 | -10.1 | +1.9 |