Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/26 Game 1

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+79.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 24,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +59.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 1End● Kazunori Takizawa● Sho Shiratori● Shingo Hori● Kosuke Nagai0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Kazunori● Sho● Shingo● Kosuke
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Kosuke Nagai
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Kosuke Nagai
Expected pt change
East 1Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 24,00026%23%27%25%+59.1-20.6-19.4-19.1
East 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw75%8%9%8%+3.3+0.5-2.1-1.7
East 1, 2 honbaKosuke Nagai ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori78%7%8%7%-0.6-14.2-0.9+15.7
East 2Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Shingo Hori78%4%7%11%-0.6+4.3-3.2-0.5
East 2, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori77%5%6%12%+15.2-17.2-0.4+2.4
East 3Kosuke Nagai tsumo 2,00089%1%3%8%+0.4-0.1-3.5+3.2
East 4Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori91%1%1%7%-0.7-19.4+24.2-4.0
South 1Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 7,80092%0%4%4%+11.0-2.1-4.0-4.9
South 1, 1 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Shingo Hori97%0%2%1%+4.6-0.4-6.8+2.6
South 1, 2 honbaSho Shiratori tsumo 8,00098%0%1%1%-5.3+11.3-3.5-2.6
South 2Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa98%0%1%1%-7.9-5.0+16.0-3.1
South 3Sho Shiratori tsumo 16,00096%0%2%2%-3.0+26.7-15.2-8.5
South 4Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 2,70099%0%0%1%+4.2-10.9+12.9-6.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)