Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/26 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+74.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +35.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Ooi Takaharu● Nikaido Aki● Shibukawa Namba● Takizawa Kazunori0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Ooi● Nikaido● Shibukawa● Takizawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Shibukawa Namba
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Shibukawa Namba
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
East 1Ooi Takaharu ron 5,200 from Shibukawa Namba27%25%25%24%-3.0-12.5+14.5+1.0
East 2Draw23%17%36%25%-2.5+5.6-1.7-1.4
East 2, 1 honbaShibukawa Namba tsumo 3,90022%20%35%24%-3.6+13.3-5.9-3.8
East 2, 2 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 12,00020%28%31%21%-9.2-18.7+35.9-8.0
East 3Ooi Takaharu ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori11%13%64%13%+3.1+0.6+9.8-13.6
East 3, 1 honbaShibukawa Namba ron 6,400 from Ooi Takaharu10%10%72%7%-3.0+17.8-13.7-1.1
East 4Draw10%22%59%9%-1.5-1.6-2.8+5.9
East 4, 1 honbaDraw12%22%56%10%-2.9-2.0-2.4+7.3
East 4, 2 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Nikaido Aki11%20%54%15%-7.0-4.3+13.7-2.4
South 1Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,0006%14%71%9%-9.0-3.1+17.3-5.2
South 2Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori0%6%90%4%+4.1+1.7+12.3-18.1
South 3Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,1000%0%99%1%+6.2-1.1-1.4-3.7
South 4Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 6,0000%0%99%1%-11.0-4.1-2.1+17.1
South 4, 1 honbaShibukawa Namba ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki0%0%99%1%-14.6+12.9+0.7+1.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)