Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/26 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+74.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +34.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Takaharu Ooi● Aki Nikaido● Namba Shibukawa● Kazunori Takizawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Takaharu● Aki● Namba● Kazunori
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAki Nikaido
1st-place chance
Namba Shibukawa
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Aki Nikaido
Expected pt change
Namba Shibukawa
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Namba Shibukawa25%25%24%26%0.0-14.5+15.1-0.7
East 2Exhaustive draw23%17%35%25%-4.3+7.3-2.0-1.0
East 2, 1 honbaNamba Shibukawa tsumo 3,90021%21%34%25%-3.9+12.2-4.2-4.1
East 2, 2 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 12,00019%29%30%22%-7.5-18.5+34.0-8.0
East 3Takaharu Ooi ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa12%13%60%15%+2.1-0.8+12.1-13.5
East 3, 1 honbaNamba Shibukawa ron 6,400 from Takaharu Ooi10%9%73%8%-0.6+18.2-14.7-2.9
East 4Exhaustive draw12%21%59%9%-3.3-1.7-2.8+7.8
East 4, 1 honbaExhaustive draw11%20%57%12%-2.7-2.2-1.1+6.1
East 4, 2 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Aki Nikaido11%20%55%15%-4.9-4.4+13.1-3.8
South 1Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,0007%13%71%9%-11.8-2.3+16.8-2.7
South 2Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa1%6%90%4%+4.8+1.4+12.4-18.6
South 3Aki Nikaido tsumo 1,1000%0%99%1%+5.8-0.5-1.8-3.5
South 4Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 6,0000%0%99%1%-10.6-4.1-2.2+16.9
South 4, 1 honbaNamba Shibukawa ron 2,600 from Aki Nikaido0%0%99%1%-14.7+13.0+1.3+0.4

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)