Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/27 Game 1
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+51.3pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +33.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 23% | 26% | 27% | -2.1 | +0.6 | +4.8 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 23% | 25% | 28% | 24% | -3.3 | +3.2 | -2.8 | +2.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 20% | 27% | 26% | 26% | +14.2 | -6.2 | -8.9 | +0.9 |
| East 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Asai Takaki | 31% | 21% | 21% | 27% | +7.8 | -5.1 | -0.3 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 18% | 19% | 25% | +24.6 | -6.4 | -4.3 | -13.9 |
| South 1 | Asai Takaki tsumo 6,400 | 64% | 11% | 13% | 12% | -6.7 | +21.4 | -9.9 | -4.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 57% | 23% | 9% | 11% | +7.9 | -12.5 | +0.6 | +4.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 7,700 from Watanabe Futoshi | 69% | 11% | 9% | 11% | -28.4 | +0.2 | +31.9 | -3.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 1,100 | 36% | 19% | 30% | 15% | +14.0 | -5.3 | -2.0 | -6.7 |
| South 4 | Draw | 53% | 12% | 23% | 12% | -10.9 | -2.0 | +10.9 | +2.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 3,900 | 35% | 13% | 39% | 14% | -3.4 | -14.1 | -2.7 | +20.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 34% | 9% | 38% | 19% | -6.6 | -12.5 | +33.8 | -14.7 |