Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
3/27 Game 1
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+51.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Saki Kurosawa ron 7,700 from Futoshi Watanabe, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -4.1 | -1.5 | +8.0 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 24% | 30% | 24% | -1.9 | +0.9 | -4.7 | +5.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 21% | 25% | 26% | 29% | +15.2 | -3.6 | -8.8 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Takaki Asai | 32% | 21% | 21% | 27% | +8.0 | -4.2 | -4.1 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 18% | 17% | 27% | +23.5 | -5.9 | -2.9 | -14.8 |
| South 1 | Takaki Asai tsumo 6,400 | 63% | 11% | 13% | 13% | -6.2 | +19.2 | -6.1 | -6.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 22% | 10% | 11% | +7.6 | -10.1 | -1.4 | +3.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 7,700 from Futoshi Watanabe | 70% | 10% | 9% | 10% | -28.0 | -2.5 | +34.4 | -3.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 1,100 | 36% | 17% | 33% | 14% | +14.3 | -4.8 | -2.2 | -7.2 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 54% | 10% | 26% | 10% | -11.3 | -2.4 | +10.1 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 3,900 | 35% | 11% | 41% | 13% | -4.0 | -12.2 | -4.1 | +20.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 33% | 10% | 38% | 19% | -6.3 | -13.1 | +33.9 | -14.6 |