Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/27 Game 2

Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +67.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Ken Sonoda● Hiroshi Daigo● Tomohiro Honda● Go Kobayashi0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Ken● Hiroshi● Tomohiro● Go
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
East 1Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,00026%25%25%25%-20.7+33.0-5.3-7.0
East 2Exhaustive draw11%51%19%19%+1.7-5.6+0.5+3.3
East 3, 1 honbaKen Sonoda ron 6,400 from Go Kobayashi13%47%20%21%+1.1+0.8-21.1+19.3
East 4Exhaustive draw13%46%8%33%+6.5-0.2-1.5-4.8
South 1, 1 honbaGo Kobayashi tsumo 8,00016%47%9%28%-21.3-4.0+29.2-3.9
South 2Exhaustive draw6%44%23%28%+6.6+1.2-5.7-2.2
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw8%49%18%26%+4.6+5.5-4.4-5.6
South 4, 2 honbaKen Sonoda tsumo 18,00012%59%11%19%-17.2-32.9-17.2+67.3
South 4, 3 honbaHiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,0000%0%0%99%+40.3-16.2-18.9-5.2

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)