Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

3/27 Game 2

Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +66.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Sonoda Ken● Daigo Hiroshi● Honda Tomohiro● Kobayashi Go0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Sonoda● Daigo● Honda● Kobayashi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDaigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Honda Tomohiro
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Honda Tomohiro
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,00024%24%26%27%-17.6+33.6-7.9-8.2
East 2Draw13%51%18%18%+0.2-5.6+1.8+3.6
East 3, 1 honbaSonoda Ken ron 6,400 from Kobayashi Go13%47%19%21%+1.0+1.0-20.2+18.2
East 4Draw13%46%9%32%+4.9+0.2-1.0-4.1
South 1, 1 honbaKobayashi Go tsumo 8,00014%48%9%28%-20.2-3.9+27.4-3.3
South 2Draw6%44%22%28%+8.4+0.6-5.1-3.9
South 3, 1 honbaDraw10%49%18%24%+3.0+3.4-3.0-3.4
South 4, 2 honbaSonoda Ken tsumo 18,00012%56%12%19%-17.0-30.8-18.4+66.2
South 4, 3 honbaDaigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,0000%1%0%99%+40.5-16.2-19.3-5.0

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)