Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/15 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +50.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -5.1 | -1.9 | +7.1 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 23% | 30% | 24% | -3.6 | -13.9 | -7.7 | +25.2 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Suzuki Yu | 20% | 13% | 24% | 44% | -3.8 | +0.6 | +38.8 | -35.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 16,000 from Sonoda Ken | 14% | 13% | 57% | 16% | +2.3 | +45.6 | -47.0 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Shimoishi Geki ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 17% | 51% | 17% | 16% | +0.7 | +8.0 | +0.4 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Ishii Kazuma ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 16% | 60% | 15% | 9% | +30.4 | -1.4 | -30.1 | +1.2 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 34% | 54% | 4% | 8% | +4.1 | -27.5 | -2.2 | +25.6 |
| South 2 | Ishii Kazuma ron 1,300 from Suzuki Yu | 45% | 27% | 5% | 23% | +9.7 | -2.8 | -1.8 | -5.1 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 59% | 19% | 4% | 19% | -8.2 | -15.2 | +37.3 | -13.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 52% | 14% | 18% | 15% | -22.4 | -14.2 | +50.2 | -13.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Shimoishi Geki | 17% | 4% | 72% | 7% | +1.0 | -19.2 | +2.6 | +15.6 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 12% | 0% | 79% | 9% | -10.9 | -16.1 | -6.4 | +33.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 0% | 67% | 24% | -11.6 | +9.6 | +13.6 | -11.6 |