Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/15 Game 2
Nakabayashi Kei finished 1st (+66.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 32,000, which moved Nakabayashi Kei's expected points by +87.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 3,200 from Miura Tomohiro | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -5.1 | -6.8 | +0.9 | +10.9 |
| East 2 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 3,200 | 19% | 21% | 26% | 34% | +0.5 | -8.2 | -6.0 | +13.7 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 19% | 14% | 21% | 46% | +6.2 | +0.1 | -7.7 | +1.4 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 15% | 15% | 47% | +14.0 | -3.7 | -3.3 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,500 | 35% | 12% | 13% | 40% | +3.8 | -1.8 | -2.1 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 32,000 | 36% | 11% | 12% | 41% | -46.7 | -15.8 | +87.0 | -24.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 1% | 2% | 93% | 5% | +2.4 | -6.5 | -0.1 | +4.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | +26.8 | -9.0 | -5.1 | -12.7 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Miura Tomohiro | 1% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -4.8 | -5.7 | -0.7 | +11.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Miura Tomohiro ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 1% | 0% | 94% | 6% | -13.7 | +3.1 | +3.1 | +7.5 |