Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/15 Game 2
Kei Nakabayashi finished 1st (+66.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 32,000, which moved Kei Nakabayashi's expected points by +84.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo ron 3,200 from Tomohiro Miura | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -5.3 | -8.7 | +0.5 | +13.5 |
| East 2 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 3,200 | 21% | 19% | 24% | 35% | -3.3 | -6.1 | -1.4 | +10.8 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 18% | 14% | 24% | 45% | +7.3 | +0.9 | -11.1 | +2.9 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 14% | 14% | 49% | +14.0 | -5.2 | -1.7 | -7.1 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,500 | 34% | 12% | 14% | 40% | +3.4 | +0.1 | -1.0 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 32,000 | 37% | 12% | 13% | 38% | -45.6 | -18.2 | +84.8 | -21.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 2% | 92% | 6% | +2.1 | -5.3 | +0.3 | +2.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 94% | 5% | +26.6 | -10.0 | -5.1 | -11.6 |
| South 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Miura | 1% | 0% | 95% | 4% | -4.4 | -5.1 | -0.8 | +10.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 0% | 93% | 6% | -13.8 | +3.0 | +3.3 | +7.4 |