Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/16 Game 2
Sho Shiratori finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa, which moved Sho Shiratori's expected points by +49.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada | 25% | 24% | 24% | 27% | -1.6 | +10.4 | -2.0 | -6.8 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 32% | 23% | 22% | -2.5 | +8.3 | -2.9 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 36% | 21% | 21% | -2.5 | +3.9 | -1.4 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 20% | 40% | 20% | 19% | -2.3 | -12.0 | +13.2 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 19% | 29% | 30% | 21% | +2.4 | +1.9 | -25.6 | +21.2 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 20% | 31% | 13% | 36% | -6.9 | -4.5 | +27.3 | -15.9 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 29% | 30% | 24% | -15.4 | +28.1 | -6.4 | -6.3 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 56% | 21% | 16% | +29.9 | -13.1 | -8.1 | -8.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 43% | 19% | 15% | +7.2 | +13.6 | -11.4 | -9.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 63% | 6% | 11% | -19.1 | -28.2 | -17.5 | +64.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 11% | 16% | 2% | 70% | -6.5 | +49.8 | -15.2 | -28.2 |