Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/16 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +49.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Okada Sayaka | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -0.6 | +10.5 | -2.4 | -7.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 33% | 23% | 20% | -4.1 | +6.0 | -1.3 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 19% | 38% | 23% | 21% | -1.5 | +2.6 | -3.7 | +2.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 19% | 39% | 20% | 22% | -1.6 | -10.0 | +12.6 | -0.9 |
| East 3 | Okada Sayaka ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 19% | 31% | 29% | 21% | -0.2 | +0.1 | -23.7 | +23.8 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 30% | 14% | 38% | -5.5 | -2.2 | +27.0 | -19.3 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 17% | 31% | 29% | 23% | -15.4 | +25.5 | -6.6 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 54% | 21% | 18% | +32.7 | -13.4 | -8.5 | -10.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 25% | 41% | 19% | 15% | +5.8 | +14.3 | -10.1 | -10.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 61% | 7% | 10% | -20.6 | -26.8 | -18.5 | +65.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 11% | 17% | 2% | 70% | -6.0 | +49.5 | -15.4 | -28.1 |