Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/18 Game 1
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+58.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 24,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +60.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | -3.8 | +1.2 | +6.2 | -3.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi | 21% | 26% | 29% | 24% | -1.1 | -2.6 | -7.8 | +11.4 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 24% | 23% | 33% | +14.3 | -0.4 | -8.4 | -5.6 |
| East 4 | Draw | 32% | 23% | 17% | 28% | -10.9 | +1.8 | +2.8 | +6.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 25% | 19% | 33% | +5.1 | -3.1 | -4.8 | +2.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000 | 28% | 22% | 15% | 35% | -19.7 | -16.8 | -12.2 | +48.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 6% | 5% | 83% | -6.0 | -6.1 | +17.0 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 24,000 | 6% | 5% | 9% | 81% | +60.7 | -16.4 | -19.8 | -24.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 51% | 2% | 4% | 43% | -4.4 | +2.6 | -1.6 | +3.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Tojyo Rio | 45% | 4% | 4% | 48% | +17.4 | -4.9 | -1.7 | -10.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 72% | 0% | 2% | 26% | -2.0 | 0.0 | +3.9 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Tojyo Rio | 71% | 0% | 3% | 26% | +8.8 | +41.8 | -15.8 | -34.8 |
| South 4 | Draw | 92% | 1% | 0% | 7% | -2.2 | -4.8 | -2.1 | +9.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 89% | 2% | 0% | 9% | +2.4 | +12.9 | -1.5 | -13.8 |