Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

9/18 Game 2

Daisuke Suzuki finished 1st (+72.7pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi, which moved Daisuke Suzuki's expected points by +25.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Daisuke Suzuki● Go Kobayashi● Tomohiro Honda● Takaki Asai0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Daisuke● Go● Tomohiro● Takaki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGo Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Takaki Asai
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Takaki Asai
Expected pt change
East 1Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi25%24%26%25%-6.7+6.8-2.6+2.5
East 2Exhaustive draw21%29%23%27%-2.0+6.6-2.6-2.0
East 2, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi20%33%22%25%-21.4-2.0+25.7-2.3
East 3Exhaustive draw9%30%40%21%-3.5-5.7+3.0+6.1
East 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw7%24%43%26%-4.9+2.2+4.4-1.7
East 3, 2 honbaDaisuke Suzuki ron 1,500 from Go Kobayashi6%24%47%23%-5.3-2.3+7.1+0.4
East 3, 3 honbaGo Kobayashi tsumo 2,0004%21%54%22%+4.5+2.2-3.6-3.2
East 4Exhaustive draw5%24%51%20%+4.1-2.0+1.7-3.8
South 1, 1 honbaGo Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Takaki Asai7%23%54%17%+6.7-1.7+1.4-6.5
South 1, 2 honbaDaisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Tomohiro Honda8%21%57%14%-6.5-8.0+10.8+3.8
South 2Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda2%12%72%14%+1.7-24.2+20.8+1.7
South 3Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,900 from Go Kobayashi0%0%95%4%-6.3+2.2+2.1+2.0
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw0%0%95%5%+4.6+1.2+2.3-8.2
South 3, 2 honbaGo Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Takaki Asai0%0%97%2%+3.4+1.5-0.5-4.4
South 4Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Takaki Asai0%0%98%2%+5.6+24.1+1.2-30.9

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)