Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/19 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+64.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +38.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +3.1 | -2.5 | +2.5 | -3.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,000 from HIRO Shibata | 27% | 24% | 27% | 22% | -1.2 | +7.9 | -5.9 | -0.8 |
| East 2 | Draw | 26% | 28% | 24% | 22% | -3.7 | +2.6 | -2.6 | +3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 30% | 21% | 25% | +8.7 | -5.0 | -2.4 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 26% | 21% | 24% | -7.3 | -7.4 | -16.9 | +31.7 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 3,900 from HIRO Shibata | 23% | 18% | 9% | 50% | -2.1 | -0.9 | -7.6 | +10.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 18% | 16% | 6% | 60% | -1.2 | +22.9 | -16.6 | -5.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 16% | 30% | 2% | 52% | +2.9 | -6.8 | +0.6 | +3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,900 from HIRO Shibata | 19% | 24% | 2% | 56% | +14.4 | -2.8 | -7.1 | -4.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 27% | 22% | 2% | 50% | -12.1 | +8.8 | -0.2 | +3.4 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 27% | 1% | 55% | +19.0 | -14.3 | -1.4 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 33% | 15% | 1% | 50% | -1.2 | +38.7 | -3.3 | -34.2 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 5,200 from HIRO Shibata | 24% | 62% | 0% | 14% | -6.5 | +23.4 | -5.5 | -11.4 |