Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/19 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+64.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +38.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +6.1 | -2.5 | +0.4 | -4.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,000 from HIRO Shibata | 28% | 23% | 26% | 23% | -2.1 | +6.9 | -5.9 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 28% | 22% | 24% | -2.8 | +4.0 | -4.5 | +3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 30% | 19% | 26% | +8.0 | -4.7 | -0.3 | -2.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 26% | 20% | 24% | -8.6 | -6.4 | -16.9 | +31.9 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa ron 3,900 from HIRO Shibata | 22% | 19% | 9% | 50% | -1.2 | -0.1 | -8.3 | +9.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 18% | 17% | 5% | 60% | -0.6 | +19.8 | -15.4 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 28% | 2% | 54% | +2.2 | -3.9 | -0.2 | +1.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,900 from HIRO Shibata | 18% | 26% | 2% | 55% | +15.6 | -6.0 | -7.4 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 27% | 19% | 1% | 52% | -12.0 | +9.1 | +0.6 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 26% | 1% | 56% | +17.9 | -12.2 | -1.7 | -4.0 |
| South 3 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 33% | 17% | 1% | 49% | -1.6 | +38.3 | -3.1 | -33.5 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 5,200 from HIRO Shibata | 23% | 63% | 0% | 14% | -5.7 | +22.9 | -5.5 | -11.7 |