Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/22 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +36.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -24.1 | +0.5 | +1.4 | +22.2 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 4,500 from Mizuhara Akina | 12% | 23% | 23% | 42% | +1.0 | -16.0 | -0.4 | +15.4 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 11% | 21% | 58% | -8.4 | +36.0 | -18.0 | -9.6 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 7% | 36% | 11% | 46% | +17.5 | +4.2 | +1.3 | -23.1 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 14% | 45% | 14% | 27% | -8.1 | -4.1 | +14.4 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 10% | 41% | 23% | 26% | -25.4 | -4.2 | -4.7 | +34.3 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 27% | 13% | 59% | -2.7 | +5.5 | -6.9 | +4.1 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 28% | 5% | 67% | -4.5 | +33.8 | -2.1 | -27.2 |