Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/22 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in East 3: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +35.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -22.4 | -1.1 | +2.5 | +21.0 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 4,500 from Akina Mizuhara | 12% | 23% | 24% | 42% | +0.4 | -13.6 | +0.2 | +13.0 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 13% | 22% | 55% | -8.1 | +35.0 | -20.1 | -6.8 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 8% | 35% | 10% | 46% | +20.8 | +4.3 | +0.1 | -25.3 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 45% | 13% | 25% | -10.3 | -4.2 | +15.6 | -1.2 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 11% | 40% | 23% | 26% | -25.5 | -4.1 | -3.2 | +32.8 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 1,500 | 1% | 28% | 15% | 56% | -3.0 | +5.6 | -7.5 | +4.9 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,600 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 30% | 5% | 66% | -4.5 | +33.6 | -2.6 | -26.5 |