Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

9/23 Game 1

Daigo Hiroshi finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,000, which moved Daigo Hiroshi's expected points by +34.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Daigo Hiroshi● Kobayashi Go● Hagiwara Masato● Shimoishi Geki0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Daigo● Kobayashi● Hagiwara● Shimoishi
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Hagiwara Masato
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Hagiwara Masato
Expected pt change
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
East 1Draw25%25%26%25%+5.6+2.9-8.9+0.4
East 1, 1 honbaDaigo Hiroshi ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go28%27%20%24%-23.4-2.8+24.8+1.4
East 2Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Shimoishi Geki14%23%38%26%-1.5+12.5-0.4-10.7
East 2, 1 honbaKobayashi Go tsumo 8,00013%33%36%18%+23.2-13.1-3.2-6.8
East 3Draw27%23%35%15%-4.2-1.9+6.8-0.7
East 3, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi22%21%41%16%+8.1+0.3-7.6-0.7
East 4Shimoishi Geki ron 2,900 from Hagiwara Masato28%22%34%17%-0.7-7.4-1.8+10.0
East 4, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Shimoishi Geki29%18%32%21%+26.5-1.2-2.0-23.4
South 1Shimoishi Geki ron 2,000 from Daigo Hiroshi53%14%26%7%+2.5+1.0-5.4+2.0
South 2Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 8,00058%15%20%7%-6.7-17.1+29.0-5.1
South 3Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,00044%3%49%5%+1.2-11.7-11.5+21.9
South 4Daigo Hiroshi tsumo 4,00051%2%35%12%-18.8-6.0+34.6-9.8

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)