Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/23 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +36.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +2.1 | +2.8 | -5.7 | +0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 27% | 26% | 22% | 25% | -25.1 | +2.5 | +23.3 | -0.8 |
| East 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Geki Shimoishi | 11% | 27% | 38% | 24% | +1.7 | +6.4 | +1.1 | -9.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 32% | 38% | 18% | +22.4 | -10.2 | -6.5 | -5.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 34% | 17% | -2.2 | -5.3 | +8.3 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 24% | 20% | 40% | 17% | +5.1 | +4.1 | -8.1 | -1.2 |
| East 4 | Geki Shimoishi ron 2,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 28% | 24% | 33% | 16% | +3.9 | -11.0 | -2.2 | +9.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 32% | 17% | 30% | 21% | +23.0 | 0.0 | +1.6 | -24.6 |
| South 1 | Geki Shimoishi ron 2,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 52% | 13% | 27% | 7% | +3.3 | -1.1 | -5.2 | +3.0 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 58% | 13% | 22% | 7% | -6.5 | -14.9 | +25.6 | -4.2 |
| South 3 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 2% | 47% | 5% | +1.5 | -12.4 | -11.6 | +22.5 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 54% | 1% | 32% | 13% | -20.2 | -5.2 | +36.0 | -10.6 |