Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/23 Game 2
Naoki Setokuma finished 1st (+63.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000, which moved Naoki Setokuma's expected points by +28.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Genta Takeuchi | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -9.0 | -1.9 | -0.6 | +11.5 |
| East 2 | Genta Takeuchi ron 1,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 19% | 22% | 24% | 35% | +0.8 | -0.5 | -0.5 | +0.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 22% | 24% | 35% | -0.1 | -2.3 | -4.5 | +6.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 21% | 19% | 40% | -3.9 | +15.4 | -3.1 | -8.4 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 31% | 18% | 32% | -15.8 | -5.3 | -7.8 | +28.9 |
| South 2 | Kana Nakada tsumo 4,000 | 5% | 21% | 10% | 63% | -4.8 | -13.7 | +15.6 | +2.9 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 4% | 10% | 16% | 70% | -18.6 | -1.3 | -1.5 | +21.4 |
| South 4 | Kana Nakada ron 1,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -2.7 | -6.9 | +10.2 | -0.6 |