Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

9/25 Game 1

Ishii Kazuma finished 1st (+54.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Ishii Kazuma's expected points by +22.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 3End● Ishii Kazuma● Asami Maki● Takizawa Kazunori● Kurosawa Saki0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Ishii● Asami● Takizawa● Kurosawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAsami Maki
1st-place chance
Ishii Kazuma
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Asami Maki
Expected pt change
Ishii Kazuma
Expected pt change
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
East 1Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori25%25%25%25%-1.0+22.6-23.9+2.3
East 2Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 2,00023%41%12%24%-0.1-3.2+4.3-1.0
East 3Ishii Kazuma tsumo 2,00023%39%14%24%-4.4+13.4-4.2-4.8
East 4Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,00019%53%10%19%-1.1-5.6+16.3-9.7
South 1Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori19%48%18%15%-2.5+3.9-16.6+15.2
South 2Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Asami Maki14%54%11%22%-10.5+3.3+7.5-0.3
South 3Draw8%60%13%20%+3.4-4.0+3.7-3.2
South 3, 1 honbaIshii Kazuma tsumo 4,00011%55%15%19%-3.6+20.5-12.0-5.0
South 4Asami Maki ron 2,000 from Ishii Kazuma2%88%2%9%+1.8+3.8-15.3+9.7

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)