Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/25 Game 2
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +50.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Date Arisa | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -1.0 | +0.6 | +19.7 | -19.3 |
| East 2 | Date Arisa ron 2,600 from Watanabe Futoshi | 22% | 24% | 40% | 14% | +1.8 | -9.8 | +0.8 | +7.3 |
| East 3 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 18% | 42% | 18% | +13.4 | -2.3 | -5.7 | -5.3 |
| East 4 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 16% | 35% | 16% | +28.0 | -5.4 | -10.6 | -11.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 62% | 11% | 21% | 7% | +0.9 | -2.6 | +0.2 | +1.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from HIRO Shibata | 62% | 9% | 22% | 7% | -8.0 | -3.0 | +11.4 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 53% | 8% | 31% | 8% | +5.9 | -10.7 | +0.7 | +4.2 |
| South 3 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 2,000 from Date Arisa | 63% | 2% | 27% | 8% | +6.7 | +6.6 | -3.5 | -9.8 |
| South 4 | Date Arisa tsumo 3,000 | 78% | 1% | 16% | 5% | -0.8 | -6.5 | -2.0 | +9.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 77% | 1% | 15% | 7% | -0.2 | -4.2 | -6.2 | +10.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 77% | 0% | 11% | 11% | -38.6 | -5.4 | +50.1 | -6.1 |