Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/25 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+56.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +50.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 27% | 25% | 26% | 23% | -5.1 | +0.6 | +20.9 | -16.5 |
| East 2 | Arisa Date ron 2,600 from Futoshi Watanabe | 21% | 24% | 41% | 14% | +2.8 | -9.1 | +1.5 | +4.9 |
| East 3 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 17% | 43% | 17% | +11.8 | -2.2 | -6.2 | -3.4 |
| East 4 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 17% | 37% | 16% | +28.8 | -5.9 | -9.8 | -13.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 62% | 10% | 22% | 6% | +3.2 | -0.9 | -4.6 | +2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from HIRO Shibata | 65% | 10% | 19% | 7% | -9.0 | -3.9 | +15.4 | -2.5 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date ron 2,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 54% | 8% | 32% | 6% | +6.5 | -11.7 | -0.1 | +5.3 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 66% | 1% | 26% | 6% | +5.8 | +8.2 | -3.7 | -10.3 |
| South 4 | Arisa Date tsumo 3,000 | 78% | 1% | 16% | 5% | -1.0 | -7.2 | -1.4 | +9.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 2,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 79% | 1% | 15% | 5% | -0.2 | -2.9 | -7.0 | +10.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 79% | 0% | 10% | 10% | -39.1 | -6.9 | +50.6 | -4.6 |