Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/25 Table B Game 1
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+67.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +50.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Akutsu Shota Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,800 from Shimoishi Geki | 26% | 23% | 26% | 25% | +14.0 | -12.8 | -1.6 | +0.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 16% | 23% | 25% | -1.9 | +7.0 | -3.1 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 20% | 22% | 23% | -4.8 | -13.8 | -5.5 | +24.2 |
| East 3 | Akutsu Shota ron 2,000 from Shimoishi Geki | 29% | 12% | 16% | 43% | +0.5 | -3.9 | +3.8 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 11% | 19% | 41% | -8.8 | -4.7 | -10.5 | +24.0 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 6% | 10% | 66% | -3.6 | -3.2 | -2.2 | +9.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 1,100 | 13% | 4% | 7% | 75% | -0.5 | +3.7 | +0.3 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Akutsu Shota ron 12,000 from Hinata Aiko | 12% | 5% | 8% | 75% | -33.2 | -0.1 | +34.0 | -0.8 |
| South 2 | Shimoishi Geki ron 2,900 from Hinata Aiko | 1% | 4% | 21% | 73% | -8.7 | +9.8 | -0.9 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 7,700 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 7% | 21% | 72% | -15.0 | +19.6 | -2.6 | -2.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 12% | 20% | 68% | -5.2 | +38.4 | -15.1 | -18.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 5,800 from Akutsu Shota | 0% | 50% | 11% | 39% | -0.3 | +17.1 | -13.1 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Akutsu Shota ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 0% | 69% | 4% | 27% | -3.7 | +1.4 | +3.8 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Akutsu Shota tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 75% | 4% | 21% | -4.0 | -8.7 | +26.2 | -13.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 65% | 18% | 17% | -3.0 | -21.9 | -25.5 | +50.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 15% | 1% | 84% | -0.9 | -5.8 | +1.7 | +5.0 |