Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/25 Table B Game 1
Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+67.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +49.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,800 from Geki Shimoishi | 27% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +12.9 | -13.1 | +2.9 | -2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 17% | 24% | 24% | -2.5 | +7.7 | -3.7 | -1.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 33% | 20% | 23% | 24% | -6.1 | -13.7 | -5.5 | +25.3 |
| East 3 | Shota Akutsu ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 26% | 12% | 19% | 43% | -0.7 | -4.9 | +5.2 | +0.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 10% | 21% | 44% | -4.8 | -6.3 | -12.8 | +23.9 |
| East 4 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 3,000 | 17% | 6% | 10% | 68% | -2.0 | -1.4 | -2.0 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 1,100 | 14% | 5% | 8% | 74% | -2.3 | +3.4 | -1.2 | 0.0 |
| South 1 | Shota Akutsu ron 12,000 from Aiko Hinata | 12% | 6% | 7% | 75% | -33.3 | -0.5 | +35.1 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi ron 2,900 from Aiko Hinata | 1% | 4% | 21% | 74% | -9.4 | +9.9 | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 7,700 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 6% | 20% | 74% | -13.8 | +20.1 | -3.1 | -3.2 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 13% | 19% | 68% | -5.6 | +38.4 | -14.4 | -18.5 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 5,800 from Shota Akutsu | 0% | 50% | 11% | 39% | +0.3 | +18.1 | -14.7 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 2,600 from Aiko Hinata | 0% | 72% | 4% | 25% | -4.2 | +1.1 | +5.1 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 76% | 5% | 19% | -4.2 | -9.3 | +24.7 | -11.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 66% | 16% | 18% | -2.6 | -22.2 | -24.2 | +49.0 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 15% | 1% | 84% | -1.0 | -5.9 | +1.7 | +5.2 |