Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/25 Table B Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +38.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -23.8 | -0.3 | +1.2 | +22.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 12% | 23% | 23% | 42% | +4.2 | -5.7 | +1.3 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 6,400 from Shibukawa Namba | 13% | 18% | 25% | 44% | -17.4 | +21.9 | -2.0 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,600 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 7% | 33% | 21% | 40% | 0.0 | +5.7 | -0.8 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 4,800 from Tojyo Rio | 7% | 38% | 21% | 34% | +10.9 | +4.1 | -12.9 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 10% | 44% | 14% | 33% | +38.1 | +0.2 | +0.1 | -38.3 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Draw | 32% | 44% | 15% | 9% | +7.8 | -4.6 | -0.4 | -2.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Shibukawa Namba | 40% | 39% | 14% | 8% | -17.5 | +23.7 | -2.9 | -3.3 |
| South 2 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 67% | 10% | 5% | +13.9 | -7.0 | -2.3 | -4.6 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 2,700 | 29% | 59% | 8% | 4% | +8.6 | +1.5 | -7.0 | -3.0 |
| South 4 | Tojyo Rio ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 36% | 60% | 1% | 4% | +27.2 | -26.6 | +8.1 | -8.6 |