Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/25 Table B Game 2
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +40.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 26% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -22.1 | -0.7 | +0.1 | +22.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 23% | 24% | 41% | +4.6 | -4.1 | +2.1 | -2.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 6,400 from Namba Shibukawa | 14% | 21% | 25% | 40% | -18.2 | +20.4 | -3.3 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 7% | 33% | 21% | 39% | -2.2 | +7.2 | +1.6 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Namba Shibukawa ron 4,800 from Rio Tojyo | 6% | 41% | 20% | 34% | +12.0 | 0.0 | -14.6 | +2.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 10% | 40% | 14% | 36% | +40.6 | +2.1 | +0.9 | -43.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 44% | 14% | 8% | +7.1 | -4.2 | -3.6 | +0.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Namba Shibukawa | 40% | 38% | 12% | 10% | -18.2 | +23.2 | +0.3 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 67% | 9% | 6% | +13.4 | -5.1 | -4.6 | -3.6 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 2,700 | 28% | 61% | 7% | 4% | +8.9 | +0.1 | -5.9 | -3.1 |
| South 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 36% | 60% | 1% | 4% | +27.4 | -26.7 | +8.7 | -9.4 |