Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/26 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +55.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Sonoda Ken | 24% | 24% | 27% | 26% | +18.0 | -1.6 | -14.9 | -1.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 22% | 17% | 25% | -16.2 | -7.6 | +32.2 | -8.4 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 18% | 40% | 19% | -10.1 | -16.1 | -9.9 | +36.1 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 16% | 10% | 28% | 47% | -10.0 | -0.7 | -1.9 | +12.6 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 32,000 | 10% | 8% | 22% | 60% | +85.8 | -18.9 | -19.8 | -47.2 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,900 | 88% | 1% | 5% | 6% | +5.2 | -1.1 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 16,000 from Shiratori Sho | 91% | 1% | 4% | 4% | -28.0 | +33.7 | -4.1 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 10% | 9% | 12% | -1.1 | -17.5 | +25.6 | -7.0 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 69% | 2% | 19% | 10% | -32.0 | -9.1 | +55.7 | -14.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nakabayashi Kei ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 8% | 0% | 90% | 2% | -0.2 | +8.9 | +1.2 | -9.9 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 3% | 0% | 95% | 2% | +0.4 | +5.1 | +3.7 | -9.3 |