Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/26 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +55.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori ron 5,800 from Ken Sonoda | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +12.9 | -0.2 | -12.8 | +0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 24% | 17% | 24% | -16.5 | -10.9 | +34.2 | -6.8 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 17% | 41% | 20% | -7.1 | -16.6 | -12.8 | +36.5 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 16% | 9% | 27% | 49% | -11.2 | -0.6 | +0.3 | +11.5 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 32,000 | 9% | 7% | 23% | 61% | +85.6 | -17.2 | -20.3 | -48.1 |
| South 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 3,900 | 87% | 1% | 6% | 6% | +5.3 | -1.2 | -2.1 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 16,000 from Sho Shiratori | 90% | 1% | 4% | 5% | -26.5 | +33.4 | -5.3 | -1.6 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 70% | 10% | 8% | 12% | -0.5 | -18.5 | +26.2 | -7.1 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 72% | 2% | 17% | 9% | -33.6 | -8.1 | +55.8 | -14.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 8% | 0% | 89% | 3% | -0.1 | +8.1 | +1.1 | -9.2 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 4% | 0% | 95% | 2% | +0.6 | +5.7 | +3.9 | -10.2 |