Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/26 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+111.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +34.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu ron 5,200 from Okada Sayaka | 26% | 23% | 26% | 24% | -16.6 | +1.0 | +13.2 | +2.4 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 24% | 34% | 27% | +5.0 | -5.3 | +4.5 | -4.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 12,000 from Okada Sayaka | 18% | 20% | 38% | 24% | -30.5 | -0.8 | +34.3 | -3.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 3% | 13% | 70% | 14% | +1.7 | -1.2 | +5.5 | -6.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 10% | 76% | 11% | -4.4 | -4.1 | +12.5 | -4.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 5% | 87% | 7% | -4.1 | +11.8 | -3.9 | -3.9 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 9% | 85% | 5% | -3.0 | -0.4 | +9.6 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 1% | 4% | 94% | 2% | -4.9 | +3.9 | +0.5 | +0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 4% | 95% | 1% | -1.2 | -13.4 | +11.4 | +3.2 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.9 | +0.3 | +4.8 | -3.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -4.9 | -6.4 | +18.7 | -7.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -3.6 | +2.3 | -2.0 | +3.2 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Suzuki Taro | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -1.1 | +4.1 | +1.6 | -4.6 |