Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/26 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+111.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 5,200 from Sayaka Okada | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -14.9 | -0.3 | +15.3 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 24% | 35% | 25% | +2.9 | -4.0 | +3.8 | -2.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 16% | 21% | 39% | 24% | -29.9 | -1.2 | +34.4 | -3.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 3% | 12% | 69% | 15% | +2.1 | -1.6 | +7.7 | -8.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 9% | 79% | 9% | -5.8 | -4.8 | +12.0 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 2% | 5% | 88% | 6% | -3.9 | +12.3 | -4.7 | -3.7 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 9% | 85% | 5% | -2.7 | -0.4 | +9.2 | -6.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 4% | 93% | 2% | -4.4 | +4.8 | +0.1 | -0.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 4% | 94% | 2% | -2.3 | -13.5 | +12.2 | +3.5 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -0.5 | -0.1 | +3.9 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -5.1 | -6.5 | +19.5 | -7.8 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -4.2 | +1.5 | -1.7 | +4.4 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -0.7 | +4.4 | +1.3 | -5.0 |