Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

9/26 Table B Game 1

Aikawa Megumu finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Aikawa Megumu ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori, which moved Aikawa Megumu's expected points by +26.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 4End● Aikawa Megumu● Takizawa Kazunori● Asai Takaki● Nagai Kosuke0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Aikawa● Takizawa● Asai● Nagai
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakizawa Kazunori
1st-place chance
Asai Takaki
1st-place chance
Nagai Kosuke
1st-place chance
Aikawa Megumu
1st-place chance
Takizawa Kazunori
Expected pt change
Asai Takaki
Expected pt change
Nagai Kosuke
Expected pt change
Aikawa Megumu
Expected pt change
East 1Aikawa Megumu ron 8,000 from Nagai Kosuke26%24%25%25%-3.0-1.0-20.0+24.0
East 2Aikawa Megumu ron 8,000 from Asai Takaki22%22%13%43%+1.7-22.0+0.2+20.1
East 3Aikawa Megumu ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori19%8%11%62%-1.6+0.5-3.3+4.3
East 4Nagai Kosuke ron 8,000 from Aikawa Megumu17%7%7%68%+0.1-3.7+24.6-21.0
South 1Nagai Kosuke tsumo 1,50021%9%21%49%-6.0-0.9+7.9-1.0
South 2Nagai Kosuke tsumo 8,00017%9%27%46%-7.1-15.5+29.7-7.1
South 3Aikawa Megumu tsumo 2,7007%1%61%31%-3.5-3.0-0.8+7.3
South 4Aikawa Megumu ron 5,800 from Takizawa Kazunori3%0%63%34%-11.8+3.3-17.9+26.3
South 4, 1 honbaAikawa Megumu ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori0%0%18%82%-10.2+4.7-4.1+9.6
South 4, 2 honbaTakizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,1000%0%7%93%+14.7-11.5-3.3+0.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)