Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

9/26 Table B Game 1

Megumu Aikawa finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Megumu Aikawa ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa, which moved Megumu Aikawa's expected points by +26.7.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 4End● Megumu Aikawa● Kazunori Takizawa● Takaki Asai● Kosuke Nagai0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Megumu● Kazunori● Takaki● Kosuke
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Takaki Asai
1st-place chance
Kosuke Nagai
1st-place chance
Megumu Aikawa
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
Takaki Asai
Expected pt change
Kosuke Nagai
Expected pt change
Megumu Aikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Kosuke Nagai25%26%23%26%-1.8-2.5-16.9+21.2
East 2Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Takaki Asai22%22%14%41%+1.7-20.6-1.5+20.4
East 3Megumu Aikawa ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa19%9%11%62%-3.5-0.2-1.9+5.6
East 4Kosuke Nagai ron 8,000 from Megumu Aikawa16%8%8%69%-1.0-2.4+24.4-21.0
South 1Kosuke Nagai tsumo 1,50020%10%22%48%-4.4-2.1+5.7+0.8
South 2Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,00015%9%27%49%-7.6-15.1+32.2-9.5
South 3Megumu Aikawa tsumo 2,7007%1%62%31%-3.2-3.5-1.1+7.8
South 4Megumu Aikawa ron 5,800 from Kazunori Takizawa3%0%64%34%-11.0+2.2-17.9+26.7
South 4, 1 honbaMegumu Aikawa ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa0%0%17%82%-10.6+5.3-4.3+9.6
South 4, 2 honbaKazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,1000%0%6%94%+15.0-11.5-3.1-0.4

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)