Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/26 Table B Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+70.1pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +29.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 23% | 24% | 28% | -11.8 | -4.3 | +21.6 | -5.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 20% | 41% | 21% | -2.3 | -3.4 | -0.2 | +5.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 15% | 17% | 42% | 26% | +10.3 | -7.9 | -0.8 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 4,800 from Mari Takamiya | 21% | 13% | 40% | 26% | -2.4 | -10.8 | -1.7 | +15.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 19% | 9% | 37% | 35% | -0.5 | -23.6 | -5.4 | +29.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800 | 13% | 2% | 24% | 61% | -5.6 | -3.8 | -7.6 | +16.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 1% | 13% | 79% | -4.1 | +3.4 | -1.1 | +1.8 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 1% | 12% | 81% | +3.9 | -0.1 | -2.7 | -1.1 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 7% | 1% | 10% | 83% | -36.5 | +34.2 | +0.5 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 18,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 0% | 4% | 8% | 88% | +3.5 | +39.7 | -40.3 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 18% | 2% | 80% | -2.0 | -11.7 | -2.0 | +15.7 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,900 from Tomohiro Miura | 0% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -6.7 | -0.1 | +7.1 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Miura | 0% | 2% | 1% | 97% | -17.3 | -2.4 | +21.2 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 2% | 3% | 96% | +0.6 | -2.7 | +3.3 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 1,000 from Mari Takamiya | 0% | 2% | 3% | 95% | +2.9 | -0.1 | -4.3 | +1.6 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 5,200 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0.0 | -15.9 | +22.0 | -6.1 |