Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/29 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+51.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +28.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,300 from Mizuhara Akina | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -0.9 | -1.1 | +3.8 | -1.8 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana ron 5,200 from Kayamori Sayaka | 26% | 23% | 28% | 23% | +13.7 | -2.6 | -0.3 | -10.9 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,300 from Honda Tomohiro | 36% | 19% | 27% | 18% | +1.2 | +4.0 | -5.6 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 1,500 | 37% | 23% | 22% | 18% | -3.9 | -0.1 | -2.5 | +6.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 33% | 23% | 20% | 23% | +8.4 | -2.0 | -1.7 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 5,200 from Mizuhara Akina | 41% | 21% | 20% | 17% | -2.4 | -20.1 | +23.8 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 9% | 37% | 16% | -7.4 | -15.0 | +28.4 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 1% | 71% | 9% | -6.8 | +34.6 | -11.4 | -16.4 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 13% | 62% | 8% | -18.7 | +14.2 | +16.7 | -12.2 |