Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/29 Game 1
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+51.3pt). The game was decided in South 2: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +28.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,300 from Akina Mizuhara | 24% | 27% | 25% | 24% | -1.7 | -4.1 | +2.3 | +3.5 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada ron 5,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 23% | 24% | 27% | 27% | +17.9 | -2.3 | 0.0 | -15.6 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,300 from Tomohiro Honda | 36% | 21% | 25% | 18% | -1.9 | +4.5 | -3.9 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 1,500 | 35% | 23% | 23% | 19% | -3.2 | +0.5 | -3.8 | +6.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 24% | 20% | 24% | +8.9 | -2.3 | -1.9 | -4.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Akina Mizuhara | 41% | 22% | 19% | 18% | -0.1 | -22.3 | +24.5 | -2.1 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,000 | 40% | 10% | 36% | 14% | -9.5 | -14.7 | +28.5 | -4.3 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 1% | 72% | 9% | -6.9 | +36.3 | -11.4 | -18.0 |
| South 4 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 13% | 64% | 7% | -18.6 | +13.4 | +16.3 | -11.1 |