Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

9/29 Game 2

Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+78.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +31.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Genta Takeuchi● Daisuke Suzuki● Yu Suzuki● Naoki Setokuma0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Genta● Daisuke● Yu● Naoki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGenta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Naoki Setokuma
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Naoki Setokuma
Expected pt change
East 1Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Yu Suzuki26%25%25%25%+31.0-1.8-28.1-1.1
East 1, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki49%21%9%20%+26.0-27.4+2.0-0.6
East 1, 2 honbaNaoki Setokuma ron 1,000 from Genta Takeuchi72%6%7%15%-7.2+0.5-2.8+9.4
East 2Naoki Setokuma ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki66%7%7%21%+0.3-13.00.0+12.6
East 3Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Yu Suzuki64%3%5%28%+3.4+7.5-11.4+0.5
East 4Exhaustive draw70%3%2%25%-4.0-0.4-1.4+5.8
East 4, 1 honbaYu Suzuki tsumo 8,00064%3%2%31%+0.4-9.6+20.3-11.1
South 1Exhaustive draw69%2%5%23%+0.3+2.3-1.4-1.2
South 2, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki73%2%4%20%+9.0-8.8+1.3-1.5
South 3Exhaustive draw85%0%3%12%+1.8+2.5-5.3+1.0
South 4, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi tsumo 12,00090%0%0%10%+16.7-6.5+0.4-10.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)