Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/30 Game 2
Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +44.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -3.3 | -29.7 | -1.6 | +34.5 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Ishii Kazuma | 20% | 9% | 21% | 51% | -2.3 | +27.5 | -26.2 | +1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 17% | 21% | 10% | 53% | -16.4 | -1.5 | -2.1 | +20.0 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo tsumo 4,000 | 7% | 13% | 8% | 73% | -2.1 | +9.7 | -7.4 | -0.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 6% | 17% | 3% | 74% | +3.5 | -1.1 | -1.4 | -1.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 3,900 from Sonoda Ken | 6% | 15% | 3% | 75% | +10.9 | +0.3 | -2.2 | -9.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 12% | 20% | 4% | 65% | +0.2 | -25.7 | +20.8 | +4.7 |
| South 2 | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 8% | 8% | 9% | 75% | +26.3 | -23.5 | -2.7 | -0.1 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 0% | 5% | 72% | -2.9 | -2.2 | -4.0 | +9.1 |
| South 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 8,000 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 89% | +44.8 | -4.9 | +1.1 | -41.0 |