Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
9/30 Game 2
Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+59.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +45.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Shingo Hori | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -3.9 | -31.8 | +0.8 | +34.9 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 19% | 7% | 22% | 52% | -0.3 | +29.9 | -29.0 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 18% | 21% | 10% | 52% | -18.2 | -2.1 | -0.2 | +20.5 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 12% | 7% | 73% | -2.0 | +9.2 | -6.6 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 17% | 4% | 74% | +4.5 | -0.9 | -2.7 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 7% | 14% | 3% | 76% | +9.9 | +0.1 | -1.4 | -8.6 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 12% | 18% | 4% | 66% | -0.2 | -24.8 | +20.3 | +4.7 |
| South 2 | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 9% | 7% | 8% | 76% | +25.8 | -24.1 | -2.4 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 22% | 0% | 5% | 73% | -2.9 | -1.3 | -3.7 | +7.9 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 90% | +45.3 | -4.9 | +0.9 | -41.3 |