Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/2 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+74.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 18,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +44.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Miura Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Miura Tomohiro Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 18,000 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +44.2 | -16.1 | -13.3 | -14.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 62% | 12% | 13% | 14% | -14.1 | +35.1 | -12.1 | -8.8 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 46% | 34% | 9% | 11% | -7.7 | -16.1 | -4.8 | +28.6 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 42% | 22% | 9% | 27% | +32.9 | +0.9 | -4.2 | -29.7 |
| East 4 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 75% | 15% | 3% | 7% | +6.7 | -1.6 | +1.5 | -6.6 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 2,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 84% | 9% | 3% | 3% | +4.2 | +2.2 | -6.7 | +0.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Miura Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 87% | 9% | 1% | 2% | -0.5 | +9.0 | -1.1 | -7.3 |
| South 2 | Miura Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 87% | 11% | 1% | 1% | -15.3 | +26.1 | -5.6 | -5.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,200 from Setokuma Naoki | 59% | 39% | 1% | 1% | +13.1 | -7.8 | -8.6 | +3.3 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 78% | 21% | 0% | 1% | +6.2 | -3.7 | -6.1 | +3.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 89% | 10% | 0% | 0% | +4.2 | -4.4 | +0.7 | -0.5 |