Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/2 Game 1
Akina Mizuhara finished 1st (+74.3pt). The game was decided in East 1: Akina Mizuhara tsumo 18,000, which moved Akina Mizuhara's expected points by +43.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Miura 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Tomohiro Miura Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 18,000 | 27% | 25% | 24% | 24% | +43.7 | -13.2 | -15.2 | -15.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 12,000 | 61% | 12% | 13% | 14% | -16.6 | +34.2 | -7.7 | -9.9 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 44% | 35% | 11% | 10% | -4.5 | -16.0 | -8.9 | +29.4 |
| East 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 42% | 24% | 9% | 26% | +32.2 | +0.2 | -3.4 | -29.0 |
| East 4 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 76% | 14% | 4% | 7% | +6.8 | +0.3 | -0.8 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara ron 2,900 from Naoki Setokuma | 84% | 11% | 2% | 3% | +3.8 | -1.5 | -3.6 | +1.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Tomohiro Miura ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 87% | 9% | 2% | 2% | -1.1 | +10.8 | -1.8 | -8.0 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Miura tsumo 12,000 | 87% | 11% | 1% | 2% | -14.6 | +25.5 | -6.1 | -4.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 61% | 38% | 1% | 1% | +14.6 | -8.4 | -9.8 | +3.7 |
| South 3 | Akina Mizuhara ron 1,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 81% | 18% | 0% | 1% | +4.6 | -2.2 | -4.3 | +1.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 89% | 10% | 0% | 0% | +4.2 | -4.4 | +0.5 | -0.2 |