Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/2 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+78.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 4 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +25.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Ooi Takaharu● Aikawa Megumu● Kobayashi Go● Kurosawa Saki0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3End● Ooi● Aikawa● Kobayashi● Kurosawa
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultAikawa Megumu
1st-place chance
Kobayashi Go
1st-place chance
Ooi Takaharu
1st-place chance
Kurosawa Saki
1st-place chance
Aikawa Megumu
Expected pt change
Kobayashi Go
Expected pt change
Ooi Takaharu
Expected pt change
Kurosawa Saki
Expected pt change
East 1Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Kurosawa Saki25%24%25%27%-1.5+6.4-1.4-3.5
East 2Kobayashi Go ron 1,500 from Aikawa Megumu23%30%24%24%-6.5+9.2-0.9-1.7
East 2, 1 honbaKurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go20%36%22%23%-1.1-22.7-0.3+24.0
East 3Ooi Takaharu ron 1,500 from Kobayashi Go18%18%23%41%+1.3-4.8+3.9-0.4
East 3, 1 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Kurosawa Saki19%15%25%41%+0.7-0.6+8.4-8.5
East 3, 2 honbaDraw20%16%31%34%-3.1-1.9+8.1-3.0
East 3, 3 honbaOoi Takaharu tsumo 7,80017%15%38%30%-8.5-8.1+24.1-7.5
East 3, 4 honbaOoi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kobayashi Go11%8%60%21%+0.7-24.7+25.1-1.1
East 3, 5 honbaAikawa Megumu ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu5%1%83%11%+13.4-1.3-10.2-1.9
East 4Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,00011%2%75%13%-10.4-6.6-12.2+29.2
East 4, 1 honbaAikawa Megumu tsumo 8,0007%1%57%34%+23.0-5.5-2.2-15.3
South 1Ooi Takaharu ron 3,200 from Kobayashi Go19%1%57%22%-3.5-3.1+9.9-3.3
South 2Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,70012%1%71%17%-3.0-3.8-0.3+7.1
South 3Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki9%0%71%20%+3.6+0.6+22.9-27.1
South 3, 1 honbaKobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Kurosawa Saki2%0%96%2%+2.3+1.6+0.3-4.2
South 4Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,1000%0%98%1%+2.2+0.1+3.4-5.7

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)