Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/2 Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+78.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +30.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Takaharu Ooi● Megumu Aikawa● Go Kobayashi● Saki Kurosawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3End● Takaharu● Megumu● Go● Saki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMegumu Aikawa
1st-place chance
Go Kobayashi
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Saki Kurosawa
1st-place chance
Megumu Aikawa
Expected pt change
Go Kobayashi
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Saki Kurosawa
Expected pt change
East 1Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa27%23%24%27%-3.8+8.9-2.6-2.5
East 2Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Megumu Aikawa23%29%23%25%-5.2+7.3+1.3-3.4
East 2, 1 honbaSaki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi20%35%23%22%-0.5-22.9-1.2+24.7
East 3Takaharu Ooi ron 1,500 from Go Kobayashi20%17%22%41%-0.7-4.3+5.7-0.7
East 3, 1 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Saki Kurosawa19%15%25%41%+1.5-0.8+8.3-9.0
East 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw20%15%32%32%-2.0-0.7+4.3-1.5
East 3, 3 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 7,80018%16%35%32%-11.4-8.3+30.4-10.7
East 3, 4 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi9%7%64%19%+2.6-25.9+22.6+0.6
East 3, 5 honbaMegumu Aikawa ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi5%1%83%10%+13.6-1.1-11.8-0.8
East 4Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,00011%1%74%13%-9.4-5.1-11.8+26.4
East 4, 1 honbaMegumu Aikawa tsumo 8,0009%1%57%33%+22.4-5.7-2.5-14.2
South 1Takaharu Ooi ron 3,200 from Go Kobayashi21%1%56%22%-4.2-3.1+10.1-2.8
South 2Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,70013%1%70%16%-4.9-3.9+1.6+7.2
South 3Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa7%0%75%18%+5.4-0.5+21.5-26.3
South 3, 1 honbaGo Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Saki Kurosawa1%0%96%2%+1.7+1.9-0.2-3.5
South 4Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,1000%0%98%2%+2.7+0.3+3.6-6.6

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)