Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/2 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+78.4pt). The game was decided in East 3, 3 honba: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +30.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 27% | 23% | 24% | 27% | -3.8 | +8.9 | -2.6 | -2.5 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,500 from Megumu Aikawa | 23% | 29% | 23% | 25% | -5.2 | +7.3 | +1.3 | -3.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 20% | 35% | 23% | 22% | -0.5 | -22.9 | -1.2 | +24.7 |
| East 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,500 from Go Kobayashi | 20% | 17% | 22% | 41% | -0.7 | -4.3 | +5.7 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 19% | 15% | 25% | 41% | +1.5 | -0.8 | +8.3 | -9.0 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 15% | 32% | 32% | -2.0 | -0.7 | +4.3 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 7,800 | 18% | 16% | 35% | 32% | -11.4 | -8.3 | +30.4 | -10.7 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Go Kobayashi | 9% | 7% | 64% | 19% | +2.6 | -25.9 | +22.6 | +0.6 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 5% | 1% | 83% | 10% | +13.6 | -1.1 | -11.8 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 1% | 74% | 13% | -9.4 | -5.1 | -11.8 | +26.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 1% | 57% | 33% | +22.4 | -5.7 | -2.5 | -14.2 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,200 from Go Kobayashi | 21% | 1% | 56% | 22% | -4.2 | -3.1 | +10.1 | -2.8 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,700 | 13% | 1% | 70% | 16% | -4.9 | -3.9 | +1.6 | +7.2 |
| South 3 | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 7% | 0% | 75% | 18% | +5.4 | -0.5 | +21.5 | -26.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Saki Kurosawa | 1% | 0% | 96% | 2% | +1.7 | +1.9 | -0.2 | -3.5 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | +2.7 | +0.3 | +3.6 | -6.6 |