Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/2 Table B Game 1

Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +35.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 1End● Genta Takeuchi● Mari Takamiya● Kosuke Nagai● Kana Nakada0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Genta● Mari● Kosuke● Kana
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMari Takamiya
1st-place chance
Kosuke Nagai
1st-place chance
Kana Nakada
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Mari Takamiya
Expected pt change
Kosuke Nagai
Expected pt change
Kana Nakada
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
East 1Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Mari Takamiya25%26%24%25%-8.2+0.2+9.6-1.6
East 2Kana Nakada tsumo 4,00019%26%31%24%-1.5-8.3+12.2-2.4
East 3Kosuke Nagai ron 3,200 from Mari Takamiya17%19%42%22%-11.6+13.0-1.2-0.3
East 4Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,00012%27%40%21%-9.7-12.1-13.8+35.6
East 4, 1 honbaGenta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Kana Nakada7%17%26%50%-0.50.0-14.3+14.8
East 4, 2 honbaExhaustive draw6%14%13%67%+1.6+5.5-3.2-3.9
South 1, 3 honbaExhaustive draw7%17%13%63%+2.0-5.4-1.7+5.1
South 1, 4 honbaKana Nakada ron 2,600 from Kosuke Nagai6%13%12%69%-2.9-15.5+17.0+1.4
South 2Kana Nakada ron 2,600 from Kosuke Nagai2%7%18%73%+0.4-13.1+9.3+3.5
South 3Kosuke Nagai tsumo 6,4002%1%18%79%-10.2+16.3-10.5+4.4
South 4Kosuke Nagai tsumo 4,0000%2%5%92%-6.6+3.8+2.7+0.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)