Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/2 Table B Game 1
Takeuchi Genta finished 1st (+56.6pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000, which moved Takeuchi Genta's expected points by +33.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Nakada Kana 1st-place chance | Takeuchi Genta 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Nakada Kana Expected pt change | Takeuchi Genta Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Takamiya Mari | 28% | 25% | 24% | 24% | -12.2 | +1.2 | +10.0 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Nakada Kana tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 26% | 31% | 25% | -0.9 | -8.1 | +11.0 | -2.1 |
| East 3 | Nagai Kosuke ron 3,200 from Takamiya Mari | 17% | 19% | 41% | 24% | -12.9 | +13.0 | +1.2 | -1.3 |
| East 4 | Takeuchi Genta tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 27% | 41% | 22% | -8.3 | -12.9 | -12.7 | +33.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takeuchi Genta ron 3,900 from Nakada Kana | 7% | 16% | 28% | 49% | +1.5 | -0.2 | -16.2 | +14.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 7% | 15% | 13% | 66% | +2.5 | +4.7 | -2.6 | -4.6 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 8% | 17% | 13% | 61% | +1.8 | -3.0 | -3.9 | +5.1 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Nagai Kosuke | 8% | 15% | 11% | 67% | -5.6 | -15.9 | +16.6 | +4.9 |
| South 2 | Nakada Kana ron 2,600 from Nagai Kosuke | 2% | 7% | 15% | 76% | -0.6 | -13.2 | +10.5 | +3.2 |
| South 3 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 6,400 | 1% | 1% | 16% | 82% | -9.8 | +17.0 | -9.7 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Nagai Kosuke tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 2% | 6% | 92% | -5.6 | +3.0 | +2.4 | +0.2 |