Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/2 Table B Game 2
Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,000, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +46.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 26% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +13.2 | -1.3 | -2.6 | -9.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 23% | 23% | 19% | +7.8 | -0.9 | -2.3 | -4.5 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Arisa Date ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 40% | 23% | 20% | 16% | -6.7 | +0.3 | -0.9 | +7.3 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 23% | 21% | 21% | +3.6 | +4.1 | -1.3 | -6.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 3,900 from Geki Shimoishi | 37% | 26% | 21% | 17% | +3.0 | -14.6 | -3.7 | +15.4 |
| East 3 | Arisa Date ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 42% | 15% | 18% | 25% | +2.0 | +2.6 | -15.6 | +11.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 16% | 9% | 32% | -3.0 | -4.7 | -0.9 | +8.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 39% | 13% | 8% | 40% | -1.7 | +18.6 | -13.5 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Arisa Date | 36% | 23% | 5% | 36% | +1.2 | +25.5 | -1.6 | -25.1 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 45% | 4% | 14% | +28.3 | -18.3 | -4.0 | -6.0 |
| South 3 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 1,500 | 75% | 15% | 2% | 8% | +1.7 | +4.6 | -6.4 | +0.1 |
| South 4 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,000 | 79% | 15% | 0% | 7% | -32.9 | +46.2 | -3.2 | -10.1 |