Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/2 Table B Game 2

Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+61.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,000, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +46.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 1End● Shimoishi Geki● Nikaido Aki● Daigo Hiroshi● Date Arisa0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Shimoishi● Nikaido● Daigo● Date
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultNikaido Aki
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Daigo Hiroshi
1st-place chance
Date Arisa
1st-place chance
Nikaido Aki
Expected pt change
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
Daigo Hiroshi
Expected pt change
Date Arisa
Expected pt change
East 1Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Date Arisa25%26%24%25%+13.4+2.1-2.3-13.2
East 1, 1 honbaDraw34%26%22%18%+8.7-4.6-0.9-3.3
East 1, 2 honbaDate Arisa ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki42%22%21%15%-6.5-1.7-0.7+8.9
East 2Draw37%22%21%21%+2.2+3.6-2.7-3.1
East 2, 1 honbaDate Arisa ron 3,900 from Shimoishi Geki38%24%20%19%+2.3-11.8-0.5+10.0
East 3Date Arisa ron 3,900 from Daigo Hiroshi41%16%18%24%+1.7+1.0-16.8+14.1
East 4Draw42%16%9%33%-2.4-3.5+0.1+5.8
East 4, 1 honbaShimoishi Geki ron 5,200 from Daigo Hiroshi38%14%10%39%-0.8+17.8-13.8-3.2
South 1Shimoishi Geki ron 8,000 from Date Arisa37%23%6%34%-0.8+26.4-2.3-23.3
South 2Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,00035%47%4%15%+29.6-18.7-3.9-7.0
South 3Shimoishi Geki tsumo 1,50074%16%3%8%+2.3+3.9-6.6+0.5
South 4Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,00079%14%0%7%-33.1+46.8-3.2-10.5

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)