Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/3 Game 1
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+75.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Asai Takaki ron 16,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +39.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asai Takaki ron 16,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 27% | 25% | 23% | 25% | -39.9 | -1.0 | +39.9 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 6% | 20% | 54% | 21% | +0.3 | +11.4 | +1.3 | -13.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 27% | 55% | 14% | -6.3 | -17.0 | +27.7 | -4.4 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 2% | 7% | 84% | 7% | +0.8 | -6.1 | +0.2 | +5.2 |
| East 4 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 2% | 5% | 87% | 7% | +16.6 | -20.1 | +4.0 | -0.6 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 6,000 | 2% | 2% | 92% | 3% | +13.4 | -5.2 | -3.3 | -4.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 4% | 2% | 90% | 4% | -24.6 | +22.8 | +1.4 | +0.4 |
| South 2 | Asai Takaki ron 5,200 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 3% | 93% | 3% | +1.3 | -14.0 | +7.6 | +5.1 |
| South 3 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -4.5 | -2.5 | -1.5 | +8.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -20.7 | +3.0 | -1.8 | +19.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 6% | -1.4 | +3.5 | +2.1 | -4.3 |