Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/3 Game 1
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+75.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaki Asai ron 16,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +38.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaki Asai ron 16,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -39.3 | +1.0 | +38.6 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 4% | 21% | 56% | 19% | -1.3 | +10.7 | +1.3 | -10.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 26% | 56% | 14% | -3.3 | -17.5 | +27.3 | -6.4 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 2% | 7% | 84% | 7% | -1.5 | -6.1 | +0.6 | +6.9 |
| East 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 1% | 4% | 88% | 7% | +18.6 | -19.8 | +1.7 | -0.5 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 2% | 92% | 4% | +13.6 | -4.9 | -2.4 | -6.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 4% | 2% | 90% | 4% | -25.3 | +21.9 | +1.6 | +1.8 |
| South 2 | Takaki Asai ron 5,200 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 3% | 93% | 4% | +2.0 | -12.8 | +7.3 | +3.5 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -4.9 | -2.6 | -1.5 | +9.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -20.2 | +2.7 | -1.7 | +19.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 95% | 6% | -1.6 | +3.4 | +2.2 | -4.0 |