Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/3 Table B Game 1

Maki Asami finished 1st (+69.5pt). The game was decided in East 2: Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +31.5.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Maki Asami● Tomohiro Honda● Daisuke Suzuki● Sayaka Okada0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Maki● Tomohiro● Daisuke● Sayaka
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Maki Asami
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Sayaka Okada
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Maki Asami
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Sayaka Okada
Expected pt change
East 1Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Tomohiro Honda27%26%23%25%-11.4+9.9+1.40.0
East 2Maki Asami ron 12,000 from Tomohiro Honda17%33%25%24%-29.1+31.5-1.5-0.9
East 2, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki ron 2,600 from Sayaka Okada5%59%18%18%+1.0-5.1+10.9-6.9
East 3Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada4%54%26%16%+17.0+3.9-1.9-19.0
East 4Tomohiro Honda tsumo 8,0009%61%22%8%+22.8-3.2-6.4-13.3
South 1Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada19%58%18%4%-3.2+14.8-2.5-9.2
South 2Maki Asami ron 7,700 from Daisuke Suzuki10%76%12%2%+1.5+13.7-16.3+1.0
South 2, 1 honbaSayaka Okada ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki5%90%4%1%+1.9-0.2-8.7+7.1
South 3Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki3%94%2%1%+0.4+1.8-25.1+22.9
South 4Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki1%97%0%2%+4.6+1.5-1.9-4.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)