Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/3 Table B Game 2

Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +25.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance	Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance	Akutsu Shota 1st-place chance	Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance	Sonoda Ken Expected pt change	Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change	Akutsu Shota Expected pt change	Tojyo Rio Expected pt change
East 1	Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000	25%	23%	27%	25%	+29.6	-10.3	-10.7	-8.5
East 1, 1 honba	Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota	49%	16%	17%	18%	-2.0	+0.3	-18.7	+20.4
East 2	Draw	45%	16%	9%	30%	+1.2	+0.5	0.0	-1.7
East 2, 1 honba	Akutsu Shota tsumo 4,000	48%	16%	9%	28%	-1.1	-8.3	+9.9	-0.5
East 3	Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Akutsu Shota	47%	12%	13%	29%	-1.5	+0.6	-21.1	+21.9
East 4	Akutsu Shota tsumo 8,000	41%	10%	4%	45%	-4.6	-7.6	+21.6	-9.5
South 1	Tojyo Rio tsumo 8,000	41%	9%	11%	39%	-12.9	-7.0	-5.9	+25.8
South 2	Draw	20%	5%	6%	70%	-4.6	+2.8	+3.1	-1.3
South 2, 1 honba	Honda Tomohiro tsumo 3,000	18%	6%	8%	68%	-3.4	+14.2	-8.1	-2.7
South 2, 2 honba	Tojyo Rio ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken	17%	10%	7%	67%	-16.0	-0.2	-1.9	+18.0
South 3	Honda Tomohiro ron 2,000 from Akutsu Shota	2%	2%	4%	92%	-1.0	+9.8	-11.7	+2.9
South 4	Honda Tomohiro ron 3,900 from Akutsu Shota	1%	1%	0%	99%	-4.6	+13.1	-7.9	-0.6