Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/3 Table B Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+63.4pt). The game was decided in South 1: Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +24.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +29.5 | -11.3 | -9.2 | -9.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu | 47% | 17% | 17% | 18% | +0.7 | -1.1 | -20.6 | +21.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 14% | 9% | 29% | +0.3 | +1.1 | +0.8 | -2.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu tsumo 4,000 | 47% | 17% | 10% | 27% | -0.5 | -9.0 | +11.0 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu | 49% | 11% | 13% | 26% | -0.6 | -0.9 | -21.8 | +23.4 |
| East 4 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 9% | 4% | 44% | -4.8 | -6.6 | +19.7 | -8.3 |
| South 1 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 9% | 9% | 39% | -16.2 | -5.2 | -3.1 | +24.6 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 5% | 6% | 70% | -2.0 | +2.9 | +0.7 | -1.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 3,000 | 18% | 7% | 7% | 68% | -4.7 | +12.8 | -7.1 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 16% | 9% | 6% | 69% | -16.7 | +0.9 | -1.1 | +16.9 |
| South 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Shota Akutsu | 2% | 2% | 4% | 92% | +0.3 | +9.3 | -12.2 | +2.6 |
| South 4 | Tomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Shota Akutsu | 1% | 1% | 0% | 98% | -4.9 | +12.8 | -7.4 | -0.5 |