Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/6 Game 1
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+70.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kenji Katsumata ron 18,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +38.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 25% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -2.9 | -0.5 | -19.3 | +22.7 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 24% | 13% | 42% | -3.8 | -13.3 | -4.7 | +21.9 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 15% | 12% | 9% | 64% | -8.3 | +0.4 | -2.1 | +10.0 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 9% | 10% | 6% | 76% | +20.2 | -4.4 | -6.7 | -9.2 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 9% | 5% | 67% | -7.8 | +9.8 | -3.9 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 3,900 | 12% | 12% | 4% | 72% | -5.2 | +10.5 | -2.4 | -2.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 9% | 18% | 4% | 69% | -4.0 | -1.8 | +0.9 | +4.9 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 13% | 4% | 77% | -8.8 | +33.7 | -12.4 | -12.6 |
| South 4 | Kenji Katsumata ron 18,000 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 49% | 0% | 50% | -34.7 | -19.0 | +15.3 | +38.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +25.6 | -2.8 | -17.7 | -5.1 |