Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/6 Game 1
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+70.2pt). The game was decided in South 4: Katsumata Kenji ron 18,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +39.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 24% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -2.1 | +0.9 | -19.5 | +20.7 |
| East 2 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 21% | 23% | 14% | 43% | -4.3 | -13.9 | -4.9 | +23.1 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 14% | 12% | 10% | 64% | -7.6 | +1.2 | -4.2 | +10.5 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 9% | 5% | 77% | +21.2 | -5.3 | -5.1 | -10.7 |
| South 1 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 20% | 9% | 5% | 66% | -8.4 | +9.1 | -3.4 | +2.7 |
| South 2 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 3,900 | 11% | 12% | 5% | 72% | -4.5 | +11.8 | -3.6 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 1,300 from Suzuki Taro | 10% | 18% | 4% | 67% | -4.7 | -2.3 | +2.1 | +4.9 |
| South 3 | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 12% | 5% | 77% | -8.6 | +34.9 | -12.8 | -13.5 |
| South 4 | Katsumata Kenji ron 18,000 from Suzuki Taro | 1% | 52% | 0% | 47% | -34.7 | -19.7 | +14.8 | +39.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +25.3 | -3.0 | -17.5 | -4.8 |