Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/6 Game 2
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+76.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Nagai Kosuke, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +24.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nagai Kosuke 1st-place chance | Aikawa Megumu 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Nagai Kosuke Expected pt change | Aikawa Megumu Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Aikawa Megumu | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% | +1.4 | -14.1 | -3.2 | +15.9 |
| East 2 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 6,000 | 23% | 17% | 23% | 37% | -10.6 | +19.2 | -4.7 | -3.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 17% | 28% | 21% | 34% | -20.8 | -2.0 | +24.1 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 3,900 from Watanabe Futoshi | 9% | 24% | 37% | 31% | -0.4 | -1.1 | +13.4 | -12.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Draw | 8% | 22% | 48% | 22% | +1.8 | +4.1 | +1.7 | -7.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 8% | 25% | 50% | 17% | +2.0 | -4.0 | +4.0 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 8% | 23% | 54% | 16% | -6.7 | -3.4 | +12.1 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 1,000 from Nagai Kosuke | 5% | 16% | 66% | 13% | -8.8 | +1.8 | -3.1 | +10.1 |
| East 4 | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 16% | 64% | 17% | -3.8 | +22.5 | -4.1 | -14.5 |
| South 1 | Nagai Kosuke ron 7,700 from Aikawa Megumu | 2% | 33% | 57% | 8% | +14.7 | -18.8 | +4.0 | +0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 5,200 from Nagai Kosuke | 5% | 20% | 66% | 8% | -14.6 | -3.7 | +16.0 | +2.3 |
| South 2 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 8% | 86% | 6% | -4.4 | -12.6 | +0.8 | +16.2 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 7,800 | 0% | 2% | 90% | 8% | -2.2 | -4.1 | +10.5 | -4.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -1.8 | -2.4 | +1.9 | +2.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 7,700 from Nagai Kosuke | 0% | 0% | 97% | 3% | -10.0 | +0.2 | +9.3 | +0.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Aikawa Megumu tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 98% | 2% | -3.1 | +19.8 | -4.7 | -12.1 |
| South 4 | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -3.8 | -17.3 | -5.6 | +26.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Watanabe Futoshi ron 3,900 from Nagai Kosuke | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -4.1 | -0.9 | -1.1 | +6.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Aikawa Megumu ron 12,000 from Watanabe Futoshi | 0% | 0% | 92% | 8% | -1.0 | +34.2 | +3.7 | -36.9 |