Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/7 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+53.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +43.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +32.5 | -3.5 | -28.0 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 50% | 19% | 9% | 21% | -1.4 | +3.5 | +0.9 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 50% | 21% | 10% | 20% | -4.5 | +2.8 | -4.3 | +6.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200 | 44% | 23% | 9% | 24% | +2.5 | -13.5 | +15.5 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 50% | 14% | 15% | 21% | +1.1 | -3.9 | +1.3 | +1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara ron 5,800 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 50% | 13% | 15% | 21% | -18.6 | -3.9 | +18.1 | +4.5 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 13% | 26% | 28% | +0.7 | +8.1 | -2.6 | -6.2 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Geki Shimoishi ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 34% | 17% | 25% | 24% | -5.8 | +6.3 | +0.6 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 4,000 | 29% | 22% | 25% | 23% | -9.4 | -6.8 | +17.5 | -1.3 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi ron 3,900 from Akina Mizuhara | 21% | 17% | 39% | 23% | +2.3 | +19.3 | -16.0 | -5.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 30% | 27% | 19% | -4.0 | +0.1 | -7.6 | +11.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 30% | 21% | 27% | +54.1 | -12.0 | -29.3 | -12.8 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 85% | 5% | 1% | 10% | -17.8 | -18.4 | -7.5 | +43.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 51% | 2% | 0% | 47% | +2.1 | -2.1 | -1.8 | +1.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 2,700 | 52% | 1% | 0% | 47% | -21.1 | +6.1 | -4.2 | +19.2 |