Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/7 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+53.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +46.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Shimoishi Geki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Shimoishi Geki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +31.4 | -1.5 | -29.0 | -0.9 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 48% | 21% | 9% | 22% | +0.4 | -0.1 | +2.8 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Draw | 50% | 20% | 11% | 19% | -5.4 | +3.2 | -3.3 | +5.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 5,200 | 45% | 22% | 10% | 24% | +1.5 | -12.5 | +14.8 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 47% | 16% | 16% | 22% | +3.1 | -6.1 | +0.9 | +2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 5,800 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 50% | 13% | 15% | 22% | -16.5 | -1.5 | +16.3 | +1.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 36% | 14% | 26% | 24% | -2.5 | +8.2 | -3.1 | -2.6 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Shimoishi Geki ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 34% | 18% | 22% | 26% | -4.6 | +4.5 | +2.0 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 4,000 | 31% | 21% | 26% | 23% | -7.8 | -6.8 | +18.9 | -4.2 |
| South 2 | Shimoishi Geki ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 22% | 16% | 41% | 20% | -0.2 | +22.8 | -18.9 | -3.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 33% | 26% | 18% | -2.9 | -4.8 | -4.4 | +12.1 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 27% | 23% | 28% | +54.5 | -9.2 | -30.7 | -14.5 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 87% | 4% | 1% | 8% | -20.1 | -18.3 | -7.8 | +46.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 49% | 2% | 0% | 49% | +1.4 | -1.2 | -2.5 | +2.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shimoishi Geki tsumo 2,700 | 48% | 1% | 0% | 50% | -19.4 | +5.2 | -3.8 | +17.9 |