Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/7 Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+73.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +37.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Daisuke 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Daisuke Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -0.7 | -2.0 | -2.7 | +5.3 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 22% | 23% | 30% | -6.3 | -10.3 | -8.4 | +24.9 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 18% | 15% | 17% | 50% | -2.2 | -2.4 | -1.6 | +6.2 |
| East 4 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 15% | 12% | 14% | 58% | -1.8 | +25.2 | +1.0 | -24.5 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 17% | 31% | 17% | 35% | -10.6 | +2.0 | +5.1 | +3.5 |
| South 2 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 32% | 20% | 39% | -9.6 | +37.5 | -11.9 | -16.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 75% | 8% | 15% | -5.6 | +13.4 | -2.0 | -5.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Kobayashi Go | 0% | 87% | 5% | 7% | -1.1 | +0.7 | +5.9 | -5.5 |
| South 3 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Suzuki Daisuke | 0% | 91% | 4% | 4% | -16.0 | +11.7 | +2.7 | +1.5 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Takamiya Mari | 0% | 99% | 0% | 1% | -1.2 | -1.3 | +13.4 | -10.9 |