Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/7 Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+73.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +36.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -3.9 | -3.3 | +0.1 | +7.2 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 24% | 26% | 29% | -6.7 | -12.3 | -9.1 | +28.2 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 16% | 13% | 18% | 53% | -1.3 | +0.9 | -3.4 | +3.8 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 15% | 14% | 14% | 58% | -1.7 | +25.4 | +1.5 | -25.2 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 17% | 34% | 16% | 33% | -9.7 | -0.6 | +5.4 | +4.9 |
| South 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 31% | 20% | 38% | -9.5 | +36.5 | -10.9 | -16.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 6,000 | 3% | 73% | 9% | 15% | -5.0 | +15.2 | -5.2 | -5.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Go Kobayashi | 1% | 89% | 4% | 7% | -2.9 | -0.2 | +9.0 | -5.9 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 0% | 91% | 5% | 4% | -15.5 | +11.8 | +1.9 | +1.8 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 0% | 98% | 0% | 2% | -1.0 | -0.9 | +13.3 | -11.4 |