Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/9 Game 1

Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+106.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +28.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Yu Suzuki● Hiroshi Daigo● Kotaro Uchikawa● Tomohiro Miura0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Yu● Hiroshi● Kotaro● Tomohiro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Miura
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Miura
Expected pt change
East 1Yu Suzuki tsumo 8,00026%24%25%25%-12.6+22.6-5.4-4.7
East 2Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,00017%40%21%22%-9.3+28.0-9.8-8.9
East 2, 1 honbaHiroshi Daigo tsumo 2,7009%67%12%13%+8.8-2.4-3.2-3.2
East 3Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,00013%66%10%11%-4.2+13.4-7.2-2.1
East 4Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki6%81%5%8%+24.7-15.4-2.8-6.5
South 1Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,00022%65%5%7%-8.0+13.2-3.7-1.4
South 2Yu Suzuki tsumo 12,0008%83%3%5%-8.3+17.1-3.9-4.9
South 2, 1 honbaYu Suzuki ron 5,800 from Tomohiro Miura1%96%1%2%+2.0+7.1+4.3-13.3
South 2, 2 honbaYu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa0%99%1%0%+2.7+13.9-25.4+8.8
South 2, 3 honbaTomohiro Miura tsumo 2,0000%100%0%0%-0.7-2.0-1.6+4.2
South 3Yu Suzuki ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa0%100%0%0%+2.7+13.8-19.2+2.7
South 4Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 4,0000%100%0%0%+1.3-1.9+5.7-5.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)