Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/9 Game 2
Asai Takaki finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Asai Takaki's expected points by +35.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ishii Kazuma 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Asai Takaki 1st-place chance | Ishii Kazuma Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change | Asai Takaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Asai Takaki ron 2,600 from Ishii Kazuma | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -13.4 | +0.4 | 0.0 | +13.0 |
| East 2 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 2,000 | 16% | 24% | 25% | 35% | -0.5 | -5.2 | +4.5 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Ishii Kazuma tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 21% | 26% | 37% | +37.0 | -7.0 | -18.8 | -11.2 |
| East 4 | Asai Takaki tsumo 12,000 | 45% | 15% | 14% | 26% | -12.4 | -10.7 | -12.1 | +35.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 27% | 9% | 7% | 57% | -4.9 | -4.1 | +4.2 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 23% | 7% | 8% | 62% | -0.5 | +2.2 | +0.4 | -2.1 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 22% | 9% | 8% | 62% | -4.0 | -3.5 | -4.2 | +11.7 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Asai Takaki ron 1,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 12% | 6% | 5% | 78% | 0.0 | -3.4 | -8.1 | +11.5 |
| South 3 | Ishii Kazuma ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 4% | 0% | 2% | 93% | +14.1 | -18.3 | +3.7 | +0.5 |
| South 4 | Nakabayashi Kei tsumo 4,000 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 94% | -3.0 | -4.5 | +8.3 | -0.8 |