Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/9 Game 2
Takaki Asai finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaki Asai's expected points by +36.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Takaki Asai 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Takaki Asai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaki Asai ron 2,600 from Kazuma Ishii | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -9.3 | -1.0 | -2.5 | +12.8 |
| East 2 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 24% | 23% | 35% | -2.1 | -5.0 | +6.2 | +1.0 |
| East 3 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 21% | 27% | 34% | +35.3 | -6.7 | -19.7 | -8.9 |
| East 4 | Takaki Asai tsumo 12,000 | 43% | 17% | 12% | 28% | -13.6 | -11.4 | -11.5 | +36.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 8% | 7% | 60% | -3.6 | -2.4 | +4.4 | +1.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 8% | 8% | 62% | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.5 | +1.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 7% | 7% | 65% | -4.7 | -2.5 | -0.3 | +7.5 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Takaki Asai ron 1,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 12% | 6% | 6% | 76% | +1.3 | -2.4 | -12.5 | +13.5 |
| South 3 | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Aki Nikaido | 4% | 0% | 2% | 94% | +14.8 | -19.5 | +5.4 | -0.6 |
| South 4 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 92% | -4.1 | -4.3 | +8.3 | +0.1 |