Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/9 Table B Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+54.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +24.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Aiko Hinata ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -1.1 | -1.6 | +21.8 | -19.0 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 24% | 42% | 13% | +23.1 | -12.5 | -7.0 | -3.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 40% | 15% | 34% | 11% | +9.3 | -3.3 | -3.2 | -2.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 11% | 30% | 10% | +2.0 | -5.3 | +0.1 | +3.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 6,000 | 51% | 9% | 28% | 11% | -5.0 | -7.3 | -7.6 | +19.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 47% | 9% | 24% | 20% | +7.8 | -2.9 | +2.1 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 6% | 24% | 14% | -14.8 | -4.8 | +24.7 | -5.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 5% | 48% | 11% | +4.6 | +3.8 | -4.9 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 43% | 5% | 42% | 9% | +13.8 | -8.2 | -4.1 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,100 | 62% | 0% | 31% | 7% | -6.8 | -2.6 | +10.7 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Aiko Hinata | 48% | 1% | 46% | 6% | +24.1 | -2.6 | -22.2 | +0.7 |
| South 4 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 6,000 | 90% | 0% | 7% | 4% | -4.0 | -4.1 | -4.2 | +12.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 86% | 0% | 6% | 8% | -3.2 | +1.4 | -3.1 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 81% | 0% | 6% | 13% | +4.6 | +32.3 | +0.7 | -37.6 |