Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/9 Table B Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+54.4pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +22.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -1.2 | -1.4 | +20.4 | -17.7 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 23% | 40% | 14% | +22.7 | -11.2 | -5.7 | -5.9 |
| East 3 | Draw | 40% | 15% | 34% | 11% | +10.3 | -4.1 | -4.9 | -1.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 51% | 11% | 28% | 10% | +1.2 | -3.6 | +0.5 | +1.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 6,000 | 51% | 11% | 28% | 10% | -4.6 | -8.6 | -6.2 | +19.4 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 1,100 | 47% | 8% | 25% | 20% | +6.9 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -4.3 |
| South 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 7% | 22% | 15% | -13.7 | -6.6 | +27.4 | -7.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 36% | 5% | 48% | 10% | +2.0 | +4.0 | -3.4 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 39% | 6% | 44% | 10% | +16.4 | -8.7 | -5.6 | -2.0 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,100 | 62% | 0% | 30% | 7% | -6.5 | -3.4 | +10.7 | -0.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Hinata Aiko | 49% | 0% | 44% | 6% | +22.8 | -1.4 | -21.8 | +0.4 |
| South 4 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 6,000 | 89% | 0% | 7% | 4% | -3.3 | -4.0 | -4.1 | +11.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 86% | 0% | 6% | 8% | -3.2 | +0.8 | -2.5 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,000 | 81% | 0% | 7% | 12% | +4.3 | +32.6 | -0.1 | -36.8 |