Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/9 Table B Game 2
Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+52.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | +3.7 | -1.8 | -4.5 | +2.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 24% | 23% | 25% | +33.4 | -12.8 | -12.6 | -7.9 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 56% | 14% | 12% | 18% | -5.8 | +0.2 | +5.6 | -0.1 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 6,000 | 51% | 15% | 16% | 18% | -7.1 | +19.1 | -5.6 | -6.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,600 from Suzuki Taro | 42% | 27% | 14% | 16% | +9.9 | -3.5 | -7.5 | +1.1 |
| East 3 | Hori Shingo ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato | 54% | 21% | 10% | 15% | -3.2 | +0.3 | -3.5 | +6.5 |
| East 4 | Hori Shingo tsumo 7,800 | 52% | 22% | 8% | 18% | -8.0 | -7.3 | -6.5 | +21.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 42% | 17% | 6% | 35% | -0.7 | -2.0 | +6.5 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 1,000 from Hori Shingo | 43% | 17% | 9% | 30% | -1.0 | +8.2 | -3.0 | -4.1 |
| South 2 | Suzuki Taro ron 5,200 from Shiratori Sho | 42% | 22% | 8% | 28% | +7.6 | -22.5 | +12.2 | +2.7 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 7,800 | 53% | 7% | 12% | 27% | -11.1 | -12.1 | +35.2 | -12.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 38% | 5% | 36% | 21% | -5.0 | -9.8 | +15.3 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 5,200 | 28% | 1% | 53% | 18% | -0.4 | +9.2 | -1.4 | -7.5 |
| South 4 | Draw | 26% | 3% | 58% | 13% | +10.5 | +2.0 | -17.3 | +4.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 45% | 7% | 30% | 18% | +28.6 | -9.1 | -8.2 | -11.3 |