Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/9 Table B Game 2
Masato Hagiwara finished 1st (+52.1pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000, which moved Masato Hagiwara's expected points by +36.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +2.0 | 0.0 | -4.7 | +2.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 24% | 22% | 27% | +36.1 | -13.5 | -11.6 | -11.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 56% | 13% | 13% | 17% | -7.0 | -0.1 | +6.5 | +0.6 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 6,000 | 50% | 14% | 17% | 19% | -5.1 | +18.3 | -7.0 | -6.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 46% | 24% | 15% | 15% | +9.9 | -3.5 | -6.1 | -0.2 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 55% | 20% | 11% | 14% | -5.1 | +1.8 | -4.3 | +7.5 |
| East 4 | Shingo Hori tsumo 7,800 | 52% | 21% | 8% | 19% | -9.5 | -6.6 | -5.6 | +21.8 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 18% | 7% | 34% | +0.5 | -3.0 | +4.4 | -1.9 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 42% | 17% | 9% | 32% | -0.1 | +6.8 | -2.3 | -4.3 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,200 from Sho Shiratori | 42% | 21% | 8% | 28% | +6.5 | -19.7 | +11.9 | +1.3 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 7,800 | 53% | 8% | 12% | 27% | -11.6 | -13.9 | +35.7 | -10.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 37% | 4% | 35% | 23% | -2.5 | -9.2 | +14.3 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 5,200 | 29% | 1% | 52% | 17% | -1.1 | +8.8 | -1.7 | -5.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 3% | 56% | 15% | +10.8 | +2.9 | -17.4 | +3.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 48% | 7% | 28% | 18% | +27.7 | -9.4 | -7.0 | -11.3 |