Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/10 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+62.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +35.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -5.0 | -0.3 | +5.7 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 21% | 25% | 28% | 26% | +1.4 | -2.5 | -20.3 | +21.5 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 21% | 21% | 17% | 42% | +3.0 | +2.1 | -7.9 | +2.8 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 21% | 10% | 46% | +12.8 | -3.7 | -2.4 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 32% | 20% | 11% | 38% | -27.4 | -0.6 | +24.0 | +4.0 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 7,700 from Futoshi Watanabe | 13% | 20% | 23% | 44% | -1.0 | +28.7 | +0.1 | -27.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 13% | 45% | 23% | 20% | -5.4 | -7.4 | +18.6 | -5.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 36% | 37% | 17% | +2.4 | -13.9 | +6.8 | +4.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 22% | 46% | 20% | -9.8 | -13.4 | +35.9 | -12.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 2% | 91% | 5% | -2.3 | -1.1 | +7.4 | -4.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 96% | 3% | -0.4 | +4.8 | -3.6 | -0.7 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 3% | -5.7 | -2.7 | -0.9 | +9.3 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -8.2 | +13.8 | -0.4 | -5.2 |