Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/10 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+62.7pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Daigo Hiroshi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Watanabe Futoshi 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Daigo Hiroshi Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Watanabe Futoshi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 23% | 24% | 26% | -4.4 | +1.4 | +6.1 | -3.1 |
| East 2 | Watanabe Futoshi ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 23% | 25% | 29% | 23% | -0.9 | -3.6 | -19.9 | +24.4 |
| East 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 21% | 20% | 17% | 42% | +3.4 | +0.1 | -5.9 | +2.4 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 20% | 12% | 45% | +14.3 | -1.5 | -5.3 | -7.6 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 35% | 18% | 10% | 37% | -28.6 | +0.4 | +25.0 | +3.3 |
| South 2 | Daigo Hiroshi ron 7,700 from Watanabe Futoshi | 14% | 22% | 23% | 42% | -1.5 | +28.4 | +0.7 | -27.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 45% | 23% | 20% | -3.8 | -7.6 | +16.7 | -5.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 11% | 36% | 36% | 17% | +1.6 | -14.2 | +6.8 | +5.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 22% | 45% | 20% | -11.3 | -13.5 | +36.7 | -11.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 3,900 | 1% | 3% | 91% | 5% | -0.5 | -1.3 | +7.8 | -6.0 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 96% | 3% | -1.1 | +5.2 | -4.1 | +0.1 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Watanabe Futoshi tsumo 1,500 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 3% | -6.4 | -2.9 | -1.4 | +10.7 |
| South 4, 5 honba | Daigo Hiroshi ron 1,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 0% | 95% | 5% | -7.9 | +14.1 | +0.2 | -6.3 |