Game · 2025-26 Regular Season
10/10 Table B Game 1
Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +42.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Megumu Aikawa ron 1,300 from Kenji Katsumata | 27% | 23% | 27% | 24% | -2.0 | -0.3 | +1.8 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 2,000 | 24% | 24% | 28% | 24% | -1.8 | -6.6 | -0.3 | +8.7 |
| East 3 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 18% | 28% | 32% | +24.3 | -3.3 | -15.0 | -6.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 43% | 16% | 16% | 25% | -0.5 | -3.1 | +7.6 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 15% | 21% | 21% | -16.5 | -9.3 | +37.3 | -11.5 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi tsumo 12,000 | 23% | 9% | 55% | 13% | +42.5 | -18.4 | -18.2 | -5.9 |
| South 3 | Shota Akutsu ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 74% | 0% | 19% | 7% | +4.7 | -5.5 | -3.9 | +4.7 |
| South 4 | Shota Akutsu ron 1,500 from Geki Shimoishi | 84% | 0% | 10% | 7% | -3.6 | -0.9 | +1.7 | +2.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu ron 12,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 79% | 0% | 13% | 8% | +0.3 | +0.8 | -36.3 | +35.2 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 8,000 | 77% | 0% | 0% | 22% | +6.7 | -3.7 | +10.7 | -13.6 |