Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2025-26 Regular Season

10/10 Table B Game 1

Shimoishi Geki finished 1st (+55.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,000, which moved Shimoishi Geki's expected points by +41.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 4End● Shimoishi Geki● Katsumata Kenji● Aikawa Megumu● Akutsu Shota0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Shimoishi● Katsumata● Aikawa● Akutsu
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShimoishi Geki
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Aikawa Megumu
1st-place chance
Akutsu Shota
1st-place chance
Shimoishi Geki
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Aikawa Megumu
Expected pt change
Akutsu Shota
Expected pt change
East 1Aikawa Megumu ron 1,300 from Katsumata Kenji24%24%28%24%-3.5-2.3+3.2+2.6
East 2Akutsu Shota tsumo 2,00021%23%29%27%+2.1-6.0-0.8+4.7
East 3Shimoishi Geki tsumo 8,00023%19%28%30%+25.7-5.6-14.7-5.5
East 4Draw44%14%18%24%-2.5-1.9+7.4-2.9
South 1, 1 honbaAikawa Megumu tsumo 8,00041%14%23%22%-15.5-8.2+34.4-10.7
South 2Shimoishi Geki tsumo 12,00022%10%54%14%+41.1-18.6-14.5-8.0
South 3Akutsu Shota ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji71%1%23%5%+5.8-6.1-5.9+6.2
South 4Akutsu Shota ron 1,500 from Shimoishi Geki84%0%9%6%-3.0-0.4+1.3+2.1
South 4, 1 honbaAkutsu Shota ron 12,000 from Aikawa Megumu80%0%12%8%-1.1+0.1-35.4+36.4
South 4, 2 honbaAikawa Megumu tsumo 8,00077%0%0%23%+7.2-3.3+10.2-14.1

All 2025-26 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)